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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
Market Mantra
Prakash Industries Ltd was recommended to the Paid Group members and also in Facebook, today, at Rs.49.50, T-Rs.57, SL--Rs.46. The company came out with superb set of numbers for the Q4FY12 and also declared a dividend of 10%. The sales of the company were up by 27% at Rs.2107 Cr (~3.12 times its current market cap. Book Value: Rs.116.54), the EBIDTA came at Rs.368 Cr, PAT at Rs.268 Cr and EPS for the FY12 came at whooping Rs.20. Prakash Industries Ltd is a business house with interest in steel, mining and power. Over the last 6 years, the net sales have grown from Rs.800 Cr in 2006 to Rs.2107 Cr in 2012 and EBIDTA has gone up from Rs.153 Cr im 2006 to Rs.368 Cr in 20-12, registering a CAGR of Rs.17.5% and 15.5% respectively.
Prakash Industriers  Ltd is operating its integrated Steel and Power plant along with capitive mines in the sate of Chattisgarh with facilities for Sponge Iron, Steel Billets/Blooms, Ferro Alloys along with power generation. As a step towards further integration, the company has also set up a facilities to manufacture Wire Rod, HB Wire, TMT bars and Structurals which puts fort the concept of forward integration in the company to give highest value addition.  Prakash Industries Ltd has always emphasized on backward integration to ensure uninterrupted supply of quality raw materials. Captive coal mine of the company in the state of Chattisgarh is already in operation with modern methods of mining, resulting in operational excellence. The performance of the company has been eventful during the FY12. The company has achieved its first milestone towards its plan to set up 635 MW power capacity by successfullly commissioning the first phase of 100 MW. It has further stepped up its level of integration by settting up a Sponge Iron kiln which shall contribute substantially towards cost savings. With addition in capacities, the company has achieved highest ever production in steel & power.
Future Outlook:
Further expansion in the Sponge Iron Capacity by setting up an additional module is already under implementation. In addition, the company is also  taking up expansion in its Steel and Ferro Alloys capacity to further optimize its level of integration. On the power front the balance capacity expansion shall be taken up in a phased manner in due course of time. The iron ore mines allotted to the company are  under advanced stages of clearances, with the Government departments, which once operational shall give further boost to the profitability of the company in the coming days. At the CMP of Rs.49.50--50, it is a steal. 
Sintex Industries Ltd has moved up by 1% today. The stock is headed much higher and the recommendations to buy the scrip has come from right and left. 

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