NMDC Steel Ltd (₹41.65): A ₹24,000 Crore Plant, a Four-Year-High HRC Market, and an Enterprise Valued at Just 45–67% of What It Cost
SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence PSU Steel Turnaround Watch NMDC Steel Ltd (₹41.65): A ₹24,000 Crore Plant, a Four-Year-High HRC Market, and an Enterprise Valued at Just 45–67% of What It Cost Capacity utilisation has gone from 50% to 80% in a year. Crisil has upgraded the company to A/Stable. HRC has moved from about ₹58,000 to about ₹64,000 a tonne since August. Yet the market still values the Nagarnar enterprise at ₹16,057 crore against a project cost of ₹24,000 crore. Every few years, an asset comes along where the market's price and the asset's economics stop talking to each other. NMDC Steel is one of those cases, and this is the week to look at it carefully. The 3 MTPA Nagarnar integrated steel plant in Bastar, Chhattisgarh, has crossed the stage that kills most greenfield steel projects. It has been built, commissioned, ramped up and, for FY26, turned profitable. Now the product it makes is getting dearer...