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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Telecom · One Year Later Vodafone Idea: From ₹6.71 To ₹13.94 The Government Delivered. Will Vi Seize The Moment? The stock has more than doubled since our August 2025 note. The AGR overhang has genuinely eased. But not every number in the latest results is quite as clean as the headline loss figure suggests — and that nuance matters for what comes next. 1 A Year Since ₹6.71 On August 27, 2025, we discussed Vodafone Idea Ltd (VIL) on SumanSpeaksPlus at ₹6.71, when the stock was priced almost entirely for survival risk rather than operating performance. As of August 20, 2026, VIL trades near ₹13.98, having touched a 52-week high of ₹15.34 — a gain of roughly 108% from the level we discussed, and a market capitalisation of about ₹1.52 lakh crore. The survival question that dominated the earlier piece has genuinely receded. What replaces it is a narrower, more t...
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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Banking · Balance Sheet Deep Dive ₹500 Crore Insurance Stake. ₹7,000 Crore War Chest. One Credit Card Gamble. Inside Central Bank's Big Pivot Wealth management, credit cards, cash management, an insurance stake, a GIFT City unit — and a board-approved ₹7,000 crore capital raise sitting quietly behind all of it. We've covered Central Bank's turnaround and its CRISIL upgrade already. This piece does the arithmetic the announcement itself didn't. 1 Start With The Baseline, Not The Announcement MD & CEO Kalyan Kumar told PTI that the Central Bank of India Ltd (₹31. 29) will enter wealth management and credit cards in H2 FY27, following board approval and an RFP process to onboard partners. A corporate cash management product is targeted for launch around August, foreign exchange operations are being centralised around the bank's LC/LG bus...
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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Macroeconomics · Policy Playbooks When India Flooded The System — And Why It Isn't Doing That Now Equity mutual fund inflows have fallen nearly 30% in two years with no crash in sight. In 2008, India answered a similar-looking wobble with the biggest liquidity bazooka in its history. In 2026, the RBI is doing something that looks almost the opposite — and the difference tells us what kind of problem each era was actually solving. 1 The Paradox Mint Flagged A recent Mint Money   article surfaced a genuinely odd data point. Monthly equity mutual fund inflows have fallen close to 30% over two years—from roughly ₹40,600 crore in June 2024 to about ₹28,973 crore in June 2026—even though markets haven't crashed. Returns have simply been flat. SIP contributions, tellingly, held firm at ₹31,781 crore in the same month, and June 2026 marked the 64th straight m...
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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Banking · Policy & Reform Central Bank of India: The Reform Parliament Just Passed Matters More Than The Rating Upgrade We wrote about the sector-wide turnaround and Central Bank of India's CRISIL upgrade in our last PSU banking report. This one goes narrower and forward — into the bank itself, a piece of banking legislation Parliament quietly passed this session, and what actually moves its next quarter of earnings. 1 Picking Up Where We Left Off Our last piece — "PSU Banks: The Turnaround Is Real. So Is The Memory Of 2011" — made two arguments at once, deliberately. First, that India's public sector banks have delivered a genuine, verifiable turnaround: a record ₹1.98 lakh crore sector-wide profit in FY26, gross NPAs at a historic low of 1.93%, and Central Bank of India's own CRISIL upgrade to AA+/Stable on August 4. Second, that ...
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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Banking · Public Sector Turnaround PSU Banks: The Turnaround Is Real. So Is The Memory Of 2011. What Central Bank of India Teaches! CRISIL just upgraded Central Bank of India to AA+/Stable. The sector behind it just posted a record ₹1.98 lakh crore profit. But this same bank once traded near ₹172 — and fell over 90% before the last NPA cycle was done with it. Both facts belong in the same story. We flagged Central Bank of India (₹31.07) earlier at SumanSpeaks, and the last few weeks have validated that call. But the more interesting story isn't one bank — it's the twelve-bank cohort it belongs to, and the valuation gap between what these banks now earn and what the market still pays for them. 1 The Trigger: Central Bank of India's Upgrade On August 4, 2026, CRISIL Ratings upgraded Central Bank of India's corporate credit rating to AA+/Stable...

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