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NMDC Steel Ltd (₹41.65): A ₹24,000 Crore Plant, a Four-Year-High HRC Market, and an Enterprise Valued at Just 45–67% of What It Cost

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence PSU Steel Turnaround Watch NMDC Steel Ltd (₹41.65): A ₹24,000 Crore Plant, a Four-Year-High HRC Market, and an Enterprise Valued at Just 45–67% of What It Cost Capacity utilisation has gone from 50% to 80% in a year. Crisil has upgraded the company to A/Stable. HRC has moved from about ₹58,000 to about ₹64,000 a tonne since August. Yet the market still values the Nagarnar enterprise at ₹16,057 crore against a project cost of ₹24,000 crore. Every few years, an asset comes along where the market's price and the asset's economics stop talking to each other. NMDC Steel is one of those cases, and this is the week to look at it carefully. The 3 MTPA Nagarnar integrated steel plant in Bastar, Chhattisgarh, has crossed the stage that kills most greenfield steel projects. It has been built, commissioned, ramped up and, for FY26, turned profitable. Now the product it makes is getting dearer...

DB Realty at ₹97: From a Legacy Name to a Deleveraged Mumbai Development Platform

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SumanSpeaks  Estd 2006 Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence Realty · Company Deep-Dive DB Realty at ₹97: From a Legacy Name to a Deleveraged Mumbai Development Platform Renamed Valor Estate Ltd but still trading as DBREALTY, the company has cut consolidated debt by over ₹1,100 crore, returned to profit in FY26, and cleared a four-decade-old land title dispute at Mira Road. At ₹97, the stock is best read as a Mumbai land-and-development platform, not a conventional earnings story. DB Realty Ltd (₹97) was renamed Valor Estate Limited in March 2024, though the stock still trades under the familiar NSE symbol DBREALTY. Incorporated in 2007 by Vinod Goenka and Shahid Balwa, the company was once associated with the 2G spectrum case, in which a trial court acquitted all accused in 2017 for lack of evidence. Since then, the business has been rebuilt around a very different idea: aggregating difficult Mumbai land parcels, clearing titles and ap...

KPI Green Energy: From ₹303 to ₹368, and the Road to ₹400 Runs Through 30 September...

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence Renewable Energy · Second Follow-Up KPI Green Energy: From ₹303 to ₹368, and the Road to ₹400 Runs Through 30 September The 18 August call at ₹303.10 has delivered an intraday high of ₹368.25, a gain of about 21.5%, after a detour to ₹271.90 on 16 September. With a 6.94 GW portfolio, a record 630+ MW DC energised in three months and the “KP 3.0 Unleashed” Investor Day two days away, the question is no longer whether the call worked. It is what to do with the stock now. On 18 August 2026, this blog examined KPI Green Energy Ltd (₹355.25),  which was then trading at ₹303.10 , just after the company energised another 130 MW AC at its Bharuch hybrid project. The question then was simple. Was a fast-growing renewable platform being priced like a distressed one? Six weeks later, the market has answered a good part of that question. The stock touched an intraday high of ₹368.25 on 28 Septembe...

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