SUMANSPEAKS | ESTD 2006 | CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE JUNE 2025 | MACROECONOMICS & GLOBAL FINANCE SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets Intelligence · Estd 2006 sumanspeaks.blogspot.com Macro Currents | Currency Architecture | Geopolitical Finance The Multipolar Currency Dream Meets Economic Reality Why the rupee's march to global trade currency status will be measured in decades, not headlines Much has been written about the emergence of a multipolar currency system and the gradual erosion of US dollar dominance. The narrative is undeniably seductive: greater monetary sovereignty, reduced exposure to American sanctions architecture, and a s...
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Yes Bank Ltd : Sell CMP: Rs.218.70 Targets: Rs.193/172 Photo : The Economic Times I have given a sell call on the shares of Yes Bank Ltd which is trading at Rs.218.70. Though recently the Reserve Bank of India hadn’t found any deviation in its reporting of bad loans (FY18 NPA divergence issue) and the growth in net interest income (the difference between interest income and expenses) was a healthy 41.2% aided by advances growth of over 42% and stability in interest margin at 3.3%; I find that there are still some issues which needs to be addressed before taking fresh exposures at the current market price Rationale : #Gross NPA for the Q3FY19 rose to 2.10% from 1.60% in September quarter and 1.72% in December quarter of last year. There was a significant deterioration in asset quality in the quarter under review, thanks to a large slippage on account of IL&FS. Of the total slippage of Rs.2,297 crore – around Rs.1,913 crore is believed to be on acco...
Market Is Running Ahead of Fundamentals: Nifty Should Correct Below 9000 Photo : 123RF It is surprising that Indian markets are moving up, when we have a dismal financial situation, with unofficial employments report showing to be 45 years low and rural unemployment touching 18%. Besides due to lack of funds in the schemes like MNREGA, the rural economy has already taken a hit. Moreover, according to a report published in Deccan Herald, 15 December, '18, India’s foreign direct investments (FDI) growth has slowed to a minuscule 1.23% in 2018 from a high of 20.16% in 2014 when the BJP-led government took over at the Centre. This proves the fruitlessness of Narendra Modi's numerous foreign trips, with public funds. Besides, with abnormally low inflation of 2.18%, the growth of 7.2% looks like a manipulated figure. It is because it is always seen that growth is accompanied by inflation, as spending takes a major push. When there is already demand destruction, p...
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