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Showing posts from January, 2019
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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
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Market Mantra Buy the Shares of Indo Count Industries Ltd at the CMP of Rs.55.45 for short and medium-term targets of Rs.91/96/127/141. SL: Rs.56. It is likely to give decent returns over a period, as INR depreciation Vs USD is going to have a good effect on its balance sheet. The company makes, bed sheets, pillow covers, etc which are sold in the United States through retailers such as Wal-Mart and Bed Bath & Beyond. While the majority (65%) of Indo Count Industries Ltd’s business comes from retailers in the US, it also exports to 54 countries and has taken baby steps in selling products under its own brand -- a bold step for a company that was set up only in 1991 as a yarn maker and entered the home textile business in 2006. A strong US dollar has already the input costs for the US manufacturers -- this is likely to boost US imports in sectors such as textiles, steel, aluminium etc. However, Trump administration recently imposed strong Tariffs on steel and aluminum im...

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