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Showing posts from December, 2016

The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
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Reliance Communications Ltd: Where it is heading? CMP: Rs.33.30 It has been a harrowing tale for all those who invested in the shares of Reliance Communications Ltd. The stock had been falling since the last few months even though the much expected tower sell deal, a mega merger, a number of investor friendly steps, etc has been effected. However, it seems with the near termination of the free offer of RJio, this bas phase looks to be over. The sun is again likely to shine over the telecom horizons. Moreover, telecom sector being from the essential service space should be least affected by the demonetisation fiasco; as we are approaching the deadline of 30th December 2016. The stupid and mindless demonetisation move of  Narendra Modi -- Urjit Patel has already failed, as expected and as predicted by eminent economists like Prof.Amartya Send and Dr.Kaushij Basu. Besides, no RBI governor, I have seen has spoiled the reputation (so badly and cheaply) of the RBI like Dr.Urj...
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Cashless India: Advantage Telecom  Companies Photo :  The Indian Express The NDA government at the centre is taking lot of measures to make a 86% cash economy into cashless. But the things should have been done slowly, due to India's structural problems. Anyway, it is important to mention here that, India has among the highest usage of cash across global economies. According to a 2015 report from PwC, 98% of all transactions by volume happen in cash. 68% of the total value of transactions are conducted in cash. Admittedly, high cash usage often comes with a cost. In 2013, research firm McKinsey found a strong correlation between high cash usage and the size of a country’s shadow economy.  The size of India’s own shadow economy — which includes black market transactions and undeclared work—is roughly a quarter the size of gross domestic product (GDP). Indeed, India suffers from a serious rash of corruption, which hurts honest, hardworking families. Accord...
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Narendra Modi's demonetisation: A Monument of Chaos & Confusion.... According to some media reports, though lndia's GDP grew at the fastest pace for a large economy in the September quarter, the nation could experience some amount of uncertainty in the third quarter of fiscal 2016-17 due to the government of India's (led by the BJP -- Bluffers' Party of India..?) decision to demonetize Rs.500 and Rs.1000 currency notes. Also, the Contraction in capital investment deepened further. India's Gross domestic product (GDP) clocked an annual 7.3% growth between July and September, faster than 7.1% in the previous quarter and higher than China's 6.7%. It is pertinent to mention here that, Reserve Bank of India posted this notice on November 8: Government of India, vide their Notification number 2652 dated November 8, 2016 have withdrawn the Legal Tender status of ₹ 500 and ₹ 1,000 denominations of banknotes of the Mahatma Gandhi Series issued by the Rese...

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