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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
Trend Electronics Ltd Recommended at Rs.60 and Rs.65, moved up with good volumes. Book some profits in the counter and again u enter at lower prices. The fact that it is from the Videocon Group makes it attractive: Pondy Oxides and Chemicals Ltd moved up with good volumes. The Unit IV and Unit V of the company has started operation. The Company's September, 2007 quarter results are excellent. The Scrip never moved after its was consolidated from Rs.2 face value to Rs.10. Now its face value is Rs.10 and not Rs.2 and hence the priced should be Rs.100 and not Rs.23. But many investors still think that it is a Rs.2 face value scrip and hence think overvalued. The scrip is expected to make news highs with the next 180 days: BNK Capital Markets Ltd should do well tomorrow due to rub-off effect of H B Stock Holding Ltd ( it is moving up because it is holding good number of shares of J P Associates Ltd). I have taken good position in the counter as I think at Rs.81 it is undervalued due ...
Garnet Construction Ltd hits the buyer freeze: Nagpur Power & Industries Ltd hits the buyer freeze after a call was given intraday to buy this scrip to the Premium and Quickie Group Members: PBA Infrastructure Ltd does well today as the Bombay based Real Estate scrips continued to do well: Trend Electronics Ltd nearly hit the buyer freezed today with good volume. I earlier mentioned that the Videocon Group Companies would get the benefits from the high-voltage Ad Campaign Featuring Shah Rukh Khan and M S Dhoni. Today almost all the Videocon Grouop Companies were on fire. The Trend Electronics Ltd is having Half-yearly EPS of Rs.7.77 which gives the natural target of Rs.140---Rs.150 in the next 120--Rs.150 days time frame. Hind Dorr Oliver Ltd recommended to the Premium Group Members at Rs.145 hits the buyer freeze: NEPC India Ltd recommended at Rs.20.5 and Rs.21 hit the buyer freeze today: CHD Developers Ltd also did well: Today most of the consumer electronics companies were on ...
PBA Infrastructure Ltd hits the Buyer Freeze: Garnet Construction Ltd and Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Ltd rose with good volume yesterday: There was block Deal in DMC International Ltd---the company is into Real Estate, Bio Fuel & Recently came out with bonus issue. The real estate sector is expected to outperform ( and the auto sector) if the RBI cuts interest rates in the future following the US Fed rate cut (if any) in the next FOMC meeting in this month: Trend Electronics Ltd (the Erstwhile Videocon Communications Ltd) touched Rs.65.5 again, before cooling down a bit. The scrip is expected to sprint ahead in the very near term due to high voltage campaign undertaken by the Videocon Group: Videocon's Rs 12,000 cr steel project depends on coal linkage Friday, November 30, 2007 KOLKATA: The joining of a US partner in the Rs 12,000-crore steel and power project by Videocon group in West Bengal depended on coal linkage, group chairman V N Dhoot said here on Friday. ...
RPL Ltd was asked to accumulate below Rs.195, which many Premium Members did and made money yesterday. In the last hour RPL surprised with a sharp upward movement on short covering. Then moved downwards on a negative news. Petrochem Cos like RIL and Indo Rama Synthetics may cut prices of their products, after the govt said import duty on petrochemical products shall be brought down to 5% from 7.5% to make their imports cheaper. A cut in product prices by these companies is likely to aid the export-driven textile industry, which is reeling under the rise of the rupee against the dollar: Phoenix International Ltd hit another buyer freeze: Keep accumulating Clutch Auto Ltd, Indo Borax & Chemicals Ltd, Amforge Industries Ltd, Pondy Oxides & Chemicals Ltd and Ferro Alloys Corporations Ltd: One could also buy Rasoya Proterins Ltd after the Soya Oil prices starting to firm up again: Associated Alcohol and Breweries Ltd moved up suddenly yesterday: Sensex settles a tad above 19,000: ...
Phoenix International Ltd hits the buyer freeze: Avon Organics Ltd is consolidating around Rs.33. Those who are having the scrip please book profits: A sell call on Jamna Auto and Jai Parabolic Springs saw them tank: A call to book profits in Cinemax India Ltd saw it tumble from Rs.145.8 to Rs.136: Buy Indo Borax & Chemicals Ltd, Clutch Auto Ltd and Trend Electronics Ltd for some wonderful gains in the days to come: Keep adding Pondy Oxides & Chemicals Ltd, Ferro Alloys Corporation Ltd and H S India Ltd on all declines: Sensex falls below 19,000 in volatile trade: In a completed reversal of the trend, the market lost ground in the latter part of the trading in contract to an initial surge. Oil & gas and metal stocks were worst hit. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) lost ground. Auto stocks were in demand. The market breadth turned negative from positive in late trade. 23 out of 30 stocks from the Sensex pack were in red. Asian stocks started the day stronger, tr...
Jamna Auto Industries Ltd, Jai Parabolics Springs Ltd and CHD Developers Ltd hits the buyer freeze before cooling down a bit: Buy Indo Borax & Chemicals Ltd as the company will gain from the appreciation of Indian Rupee, as they have to import boron:Sanguine Media Ltd and Clutch Auto Industries Ltd are looking hot: Phoenix International Ltd hits the buyer freeze: My mention in the Sunday Report to the Premium Group members regarding the Out-Performance of the Auto Sector is coming to the to be correct: The market ended lower, after decent rise in the past two sessions, due to losses in the US markets on renewed worries over the fallout from the US subprime mortgage crisis. European markets, which opened after Indian markets, slipped into the red in volatile trade. Earlier, select Asian markets recovered from an initial fall after Abu Dhabi Investment Authority reached a deal to buy an equity stake in Citigroup. US stocks tumbled on Monday, 26 November 2007, as investors worried ris...
My this week's Quickie Call on India Foils Ltd saw it hit the buyer freeze: CHD Developers Ltd hits another buyer Freeze, after the company came out with scintillating results for the September, 2007 quarter: Jai Parabolic Springs Ltd and Jamna Auto Industries Ltd hit the respective upper circuits: UCO Bank also does well due to good news prevaling in the counter: Try Indo Borax & Chemicals Ltd tomorrow as the scrip is looking excellent for buying at the CMP of Rs.152. The immediate triggers for the company is the closure of many chemical plants in China following Olympic Games in 2008: Sanguine Media Ltd should do well due to Reliance Story in the counter. The company is coming up with some new initiatives focussed on Rural marketing within the next few months. The company's September, 2007 quarter results are good: Ferro Alloys Corporation Ltd hit the buyer freeze, after the mining scrip caught fire today: In the same line NALCO Ltd recommended to the Premium Group me...
Domestic Institutions turns net buyers during the course of the week: The markets should consolidate at this levels. Concentrate on Mid, Small and Select Large Cap counters: Statutory Warning: Always picking up Scrips when there is a “flow of Blood on the Dalal Street”, is potentially injurious to the Financial Health of investors: There is enough money to be made in these market conditions too.........: [Excerpts of the Sunday Report Sent to Premium and Quickie Group Members] The markets last week saw intense volatility with a slight negative bias. The volumes recorded during the week were low along with negative breadth. Incidentally, FIIs remained net sellers in the cash as well as the derivatives segments. Domestic institutional investors, on the other hand, remained net buyers during the course of the last week. Thus this time also it seems the domestic institutions have beaten the FIIs in terms of market outlook and timing the markets. But the good point is that the Rupee, depr...
My Morning Calls on Sanguie Media Services Ltd and CHD Developers Ltd hits the buyer freezes: Phoenix International Ltd hits the Buyer freeze: Both Videocon Communications Ltd (Trend Electronics Ltd) and Clutch Auto Industries Ltd are looking great at the CMP. One should accumulate them for some decent appreciation in the next 60 days to 90 days: Both the media and Auto ancillary Sectors are expected to see increased activities in the days come. Please view auto and auto ancilliary sectors in a little different way: Ferro Alloys Corporations Ltd should do well in the days to come and hence one should accumulate it in a staggered way as it declines: Infosys hardens even as market pares gains: The market pared gains once again amidst volatile trade in afternoon trade after touching an intra-day high in early afternoon trade. The market had earlier pared gains following strong opening. It had firmed up in mid-morning trade. IT stocks surged in afternoon trade. Capital goods, power...
KRBL Ltd at Quickie Call at Rs.92 hit the buyer freeze, yesterday: Phoenix International Ltd hits the buyer Freeze: H S India Ltd hit the buyer freeze: K Sera Sera Productions Ltd moved up yesterday with good volumes. Huge accumulation is going on at the CMP. Keep adding the counter at the CMP for a target of Rs.75--Rs.80 in the next 60 days: Clutch Auto Industries Ltd recommended to the Premium Group memberes at Rs.105.5 rose to Rs.113 before cooling down a bit. The scrip has a long way to go and hence do not sell in a hurry. This is one of the best companies in the auto ancillary space: Binani Industries Ltd is consolidating around the CMP: Ferro Alloys Corporation Ltd moved up with good volumes. The company should benefit from the buoyancy in the Ferro-Chrome prices in the International markets. The company would start Platinum mining soon. This scrip has also been highly recommended by Hemant Kumar Gupta, a well known veteran analyst of the Small and Mid cap spae: Cinemax India Ltd...
Phoenix International Ltd hits the buyer freeze on the news of renting of its Properties and development of Chennai Property for the Purpose of a Shoe Park: Premier Explosives Ltd crossed Rs.62: Trend Electronics Ltd (Videocon Communications) yesterday moved above Rs.74 before cooling a bit: It is one of the most undervalued scrip from the Videocon Group which is into Oil and Gas as well. Just look at the companies in the consumer electronics space and compare this one with them. Did u find the difference?? If not satisfied please look at Salora International Ltd and compare it with Videocon communications Ltd, which is almost in the same space. This Videocon Group company is available at throway price at the CMP of around Rs.68. Please look at the wonderful Half-yearly results of the company. The December, 2007 quarter is generally good for the consumer electronics of companies, due to Festival Sales; though after the G M Breweries Ltd's fiasco I do not want to bet on the Quarter...
Will Dhoot's gamble pay off? Nandini Lakshman in Mumbai OLD NEWS BUT CARRIES LOT OF VALUES: Having hit the headlines twice in the last ten days, Venugopal Dhoot, chairman and managing director of the Rs 6,000-crore (Rs 60 billion) white goods and oil and gas player Videocon Group is on a new high. "I am the first Indian multinational with 11 factories across the globe," he says. His dream of becoming one of the world's largest picture-tube maker, after acquiring the colour picture-tube manufacturing business of French media services and technology major Thomson SA globally for Rs 1,260 crore (Rs 12.6 billion), may have come true. Also, last week's acquisition of Swedish white goods major Electrolux AB's Indian subsidiary -- Electrolux Kelvinator Ltd -- gives him the economies of scale to straddle the entire price spectrum in refrigerators, washing machines and air-conditioners. There is also a buy-back arrangement with Electrolux to supply to its global marke...
The overall market to remain volatile, with a slight positive bias, amidst bouts of profit booking: Like the last week concentrate on the Mid, Small and select Large Cap Counters and select large caps: The broader market lacks definite triggers: [Excerpts from the Sunday Report send to teh Premium and Quickie Group members] Indian markets began last week on a pessimistic note on weak global cues. Markets last week felt the heat as the US sub-prime mortgage crisis continued to plague global equity markets. However, positive developments in the political arena and better than expected results from the US heavyweight Wal-Mart helped assuage worries leading to the highest single-day gain in the Sensex on Wednesday. Both Nifty and Sensex closed above 4% to end this week. FMCG was the lead runner in the markets while IT continued to remain lackluster over the week. There was a restoration of positive sentiment that sustained Indian markets to outperform its counter parts. Banking, Oil ...

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