The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...

NDTV Ltd (₹93.9): Rights-Funded Revival Amid Losses, Social Optimism & Strategic Bets.

~Sumon Mukhopadhyay.

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Once the undisputed voice of independent journalism in India, NDTV Ltd, now under the Adani Group, is trying to reshape its legacy for the digital age. Trading around ₹92.97 per share — down nearly 30 % YTD — NDTV stands at a crossroads of revival and uncertainty.


A Rights-Funded Rebirth:

In October 2025, NDTV completed a ₹396.49 crore rights issue, aimed at strengthening liquidity and expanding its digital footprint. Following this issue, the promoter holding increased from 64.71 % to 69.02 %, signaling long-term confidence from the Adani Group.

At the same time, NDTV merged four subsidiary entities (effective October 1, 2025) to simplify operations and improve efficiency — a key step in aligning its broadcast and digital business under a unified strategy.

“We are building NDTV for a digital-first world, while preserving the credibility and brand trust that define us.”


Financial Snapshot: Q2 FY26:

The company’s Q2 FY26 results show progress in revenue but continued pain at the bottom line.

  • Revenue: ₹122.27 crore — up 9.8 % year-on-year and 13.6 % quarter-on-quarter.
  • Net Loss: ₹74.11 crore — worsened by about 40 % YoY.
  • Operating Margin: Still negative (−46.5 %), reflecting persistent cost pressure.
  • Debt-to-Equity: Around 0.15, though some data sources show higher leverage due to low net worth.
  • Employee Costs: Roughly 37 % of operational revenue, weighing on profitability.
  • Promoter Holding: 69.02 %, up from 64.71 %.

For FY25, NDTV reported ₹490 crore in revenue (about 25 % growth YoY) but a net loss of ₹262 crore, hurt by restructuring costs and weak advertising demand. The book value per share stood near ₹5.3, resulting in a price-to-book ratio of 17–18× — a steep premium for a loss-making company.

In short: NDTV is growing at the top line but remains financially stretched.


Valuation Overview:

At the end of October 2025:

  • Share Price: ₹93.9
  • Market Capitalisation: Around ₹1,050–1,100 crore
  • Price-to-Book: ~17–18×
  • P/E Ratio: Negative, since the company is loss-making
  • 52-Week Range: ₹91.5 to ₹144.8
  • Institutional Holding: Less than 3 %

The stock trades at a valuation far higher than peers, driven mainly by expectations surrounding Adani Group’s ₹5,000 crore media expansion plan, which includes NDTV and AMG Media Networks.


Public & Social Sentiment:

Across social media platforms, investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic.

  • On X (Twitter): Many users appreciate NDTV’s more balanced editorial tone and refined presentation style since the Adani acquisition. Comments frequently note that the channel appears “mature, less sensational, and more business-minded.”
  • On Reddit: Communities like r/IndiaSpeaks and r/IndianStockMarket describe NDTV’s digital push and promoter stake increase as “good business sense.”
    Discussions highlight the potential to monetise NDTV’s vast archive, develop regional-language channels, and expand international reach — all of which could turn the company profitable within two years if executed well.

Overall, the mood is hopeful but not euphoric — investors respect the strategic changes but remain wary of the persistent red ink.


Investment Case:

Bull Case:
If NDTV can turn EBITDA positive by FY27 through better ad yields, digital subscriptions, and archive monetisation, the stock could climb to ₹175–₹200 within 12–18 months, delivering nearly 100 % upside from current levels.

Bear Case:
If losses continue and ad revenue stagnates, NDTV could slip back to ₹80–₹90, especially as competition from Zee, TV18, and OTT platforms intensifies.

Base Case:
Assuming gradual cost control and steady digital growth, fair value may hover around ₹140–₹150 by late FY26.


The Verdict:

NDTV Ltd remains a high-risk, high-reward contrarian story. The rights-funded balance-sheet repair, promoter confidence, and digital realignment offer a path to revival — but profitability remains the missing link.

For risk-tolerant investors, NDTV represents a speculative bet on India’s evolving media consolidation.
For conservative portfolios, patience may prove wiser until a sustained earnings turnaround is visible.

In broadcasting, visibility is valuable; in finance, viability is priceless.


πŸ“š Sources:

  • NDTV Ltd corporate filings (BSE) and Q2 FY26 Press Release.
  • BestMediaInfo, Exchange4Media, Economic Times Markets, Screener.in.
  • Business Standard and MarketsMojo for quarterly data verification.

⚠️ Disclaimer:

All data are accurate to the best of publicly available sources as of October 31 2025.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers should perform their own research or consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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