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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...

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Capitulation in the domestic bourses could be over or near the final stages: The BSE Sensex is now trading at 52,314.34 up 716.50 points (+1.39%), while the Nifty50 is seen at 15,568.05 up 217.90 points (+1.42%). From today's trading pattern in the domestic as well as in International Markets, it seems we have either crossed the capitulation phase or on the way to breast the red tape. Photo: Outlook

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Bull πŸ‚ Markets, always rise from the air of suspicion and/or cynicism. The things will get clear within this week -- whether we are in for charting a new upward trajectory, in the newly mapped macro - economic - domain contoured by the RBI's policy actions or the capitulation phase is still in progress. 

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Bottomline: If you have extra cash in hand, then I feel it would be prudent to pick up good beaten down counters, for a slightly longer haul -- say 4 to 6 months or till the Deepawali lights, enchants and hallows up, the night - sky. ============= 

At this crucial crossroad, the game is perhaps all set to flower in a new beginning; as market participants meticulously watch with intense interest, how FIIs once again fashion methods and shenanigans, to infiltrate the Indian Bourses, in herds.

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