Winning Strokes

Yesterday, the BSE Sensex closed at 56,319.019 up 497 points (+0.89%), while the Nifty settled at 16,770.85 up 156.65 points (+0.94%). I'm expecting the Nifty to gradually trend towards 16400/15870 level in the coming days, before moving up. Photo: Times Now.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present her third budget and will be assisted by a team of advisers and secretaries with a mission to boost economy in these outbreak times. Sitharaman has promised that the upcoming Budget will be of a kind never seen before, one where fiscal concerns will be kept aside and there could be record public spending, with an objective of boosting demand and creating jobs. So, next year we can look forward to Sensex touching 70,000.

#The stock of Shriram EPC Ltd (Rs.7.45) touched a high of Rs.7.65 in the NSE before closing near the day's high. 

The Dubai-based family office Mark AB Capital will take over Shriram EPC, an engineering procurement and construction contractor and part of the financial services conglomerate Shriram group by picking up 26% stake for Rs.350 crore. Hence, this Dubai based firm is the New Promoter of Shriram EPC. Now we know from our previous experience that FERA Companies command high valuations. So, we need to look at the counter of Shriram EPC Ltd (Rs.7.50), from a new angle. Considering the brand of its new promoter, Bullishness associated with the construction sector and the upcoming Infrastructure focused budget we can look for long term targets of Rs.37/45/72/167/291. Buy on Market Declines. This is a sure shot bargain, as the company will not face working capital hassles and will now operate on international scale (foreign contracts).

The stock of Den Networks Ltd (Rs.40.25) is from the Mukhesh Ambani group, and has high safety associated with it. They also obtained a non-exclusive license from the DoT to set up and operate internet services all over India.  

Some people are of the opinion that, 5G Services could bring about the end of cable TV, whereas others think it won’t have much of an impact. 

However, the Den Networks Ltd is a hybrid player and therefore could excel in  this space or could take over the business of pure cable TV operators, by dishing out to customers, internet streaming platforms. I mean, even if 5G services next year pose some challenges to Cable TV sector, Den Networks will be able to match any drop in revenue through high speed video streaming.

The improvements to wireless broadband technology through the advent of 5G services can threaten cable TV companies, and hence the investors were shying away, but Den Networks has an excellent story. Up until now, while 4G LTE delivers excellent speeds, its capabilities are nothing compared to what a cable connection can give you. This is going to change, with India going for 5G services tentatively in the middle of next year. Many companies routinely offer connections of 200 Mbps or more, with Gigabit Internet now also available in most places. This means that 5G can replace cable Internet in some places, which would be detrimental to PURE cable TV business model and hence could help hybrid players like Den Networks to take over their businesses (if any). 

To give you a little better idea of what’s happening in the US on cable TV industry, here are some stats: 

• The 2 largest cable companies, Comcast and Charter, are trading at record high prices. Charter stock prices are up more than 150% in the past 5 years. (Sources 1, 2).
• In 2020, Charter added more than 2.1 million home Internet customers, up from 1.3 million the year before. (Source 3).
• Year-over-year growth for Comcast’s Internet service is above 5%, the highest rate in more than 6 years. (Source 4).
• In 2020 alone, more than 6 million people cut the cord, choosing to drop cable TV services in favor of streaming-only options. (Source 5)

Over and above, Den Networks, is debt free, comes from a big brand, entertains 13 million+ households in India across 13 key states and 433 cities and has the Largest Subscriber Base amongst all cable players in India. 

Besides, after revolutionising the internet adoption in India with Jio’s free internet data plans, Mukhesh Ambani has drawn up the plan for a second wave of the digital revolution through JioFiber broadband services.

On September 5, 2019, Reliance Jio launched a fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) internet broadband service JioFiber, also known as Jio GigaFiber, in over 1,600 cities in India. This is expected to get more aggressive, post 5G Launch in India. 

JioFiber is offering a speed starting from 100 Mbps and go all the way up to 1 Gbps. These plans come with access to free domestic voice calling, conferencing and international calling; TV video calling and conferencing, entertainment OTT apps, gaming, home networking, community management services, device security, AR/VR experience and more.

• High-Speed Internet
• Voice Assistant
• Free Voice And Video Calling
• 4K Set-Top Box
• Music And Video Streaming
• Home Networking And Smart Homes
• Jio Security
• Smart TV Experiences
• JioGate Community Management
• Online Multiplayer Gaming
• Virtual Reality Experiences

Those having a long term vision should have the scrip of Den Networks Ltd (Rs.40.25) in their kitties.

In another development, the case of Future Retail Ltd (Rs.54.35) is now all set to go in its favour of the master Indian strategist, Kishore Biyani, as he is all set to gift Biriyani...😀😀to his shareholders. The Economic Times writes, Future may use CCI order to get Amazon cases quashed. 

I have mentioned many times, in this blog that it will be very difficult, if not impossible to beat Mukhesh Ambani in his home turf. And the new developments, just indicate that.....We can now look forward for targets of Rs.100+, in the coming days. Accumulate on declines.

You can continue accumulating the shares of Bombay Rayon and Fashions Ltd (Rs.7.15) for targets of Rs.27/35. The company has opened new stores in Bangalore. Photo: Bombay Rayon and Fashions Ltd's new store in Bangalore.

Another, I want to ask the regulators: on what basis a stock is put in T - group (BL in NSE)? I see Stocks like Sintex Plastics Ltd (Rs.13.45), Trident Ltd, 3i Infotech, Urja Global Ltd (Rs.14.90), Nagarjuna Fertilizers Ltd (Rs.11.35), HCC (Rs.15.60), etc which are either hitting continuous Upper Circuit for weeks or there are too much speculation, have still not been shifted in Trade - to - Trade segment (T - group), while it is not the case for many others, Reliance Capital (Rs.13.65), Reliance Infra Ltd (Rs.95.15), A2Z Infra Engineering Ltd (Rs.7.70), etc. 

If the stock exchanges do this of regulation, then obviously the shareholders will question the intent of the regulators. I'll only say - we either have a very bad regulation policy or the persons who are entrusted with the implementation of the surveillance policies/mechanism are probably doing the work with a jaundiced vision. 

My request to the regulators of stock Exchanges: Kindly, take note of my concerns and take necessary steps to correct the aberration.

The shares of Suzlon Energy Ltd (Rs.7.45) has been hitting the buyer since the last couple of days. We can look forward for targets above Rs.10, as the government of India is all set to implement the Renewal Energy targets of 2022. The upcoming budget is likely to give incentives for the Renewal Energy sector. Accumulate in Market Declines. 

Buy the shares of A2Z Infra Engineering Ltd near the CMP of Rs.7.55, for short term targets of Rs.12/15.

According to Simply Wall, A2Z Infra Engineering Ltd (Rs.7.55) had a debt of Rs.3.63 billion as of 31 March, 2021, down from Rs.4.79 billion. However, it has a cash reserve of Rs.2.13 billion, hence its net debt is a meagre figure of Rs.1.50 billion -- this is very less, for the companies in its sector of performance.