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SumanSpeaks Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence · Estd 2006 Governance · Regulatory Risk Reliance Power: When Legal Clouds Gather Over Market Euphoria ₹20,367 crore attached across the Reliance Anil Ambani Group. A ₹68.2 crore fake bank guarantee at the centre of it. A former CFO in custody for ten months and counting. And a stock that's still down more than half from its 52-week high even after a sharp rally. The market is pricing the turnaround. The Enforcement Directorate is pricing the history. Both can't be right forever. Reliance Power Ltd (₹24.07) has genuinely turned a corner operationally over the past two years — debt reduction, a growing renewable and BESS order pipeline, and periods of sharp investor re-rating. That part of the story is real and deserves credit. But sitting underneath that story is a live,...
Tit - Bits
1. Today,  P C Jewellers  Ltd (Rs.30.20)  touched Rs.31.85 on the  upside riding the retail story, before closing at Rs.30.20. With the GDP growth according to the new method nosediving to 4.50% (old method -- 3%), and uncertainty prevailing,  the natural tendency to invest in gold and other precious metals comes to fore.
However, if the scrip is able to cross Rs.32/32.50 region with good volume then we can think of higher targets. I shall speak with my sources next week.  
Many investors ask me why I didn't post in MMB for years.  The reason is I don't go to such a filthy place,  managed by Moneycontrol manipulators, who pose as admins and take decisions according to their whims and caprices. Moreover most inputs I saw recently, are of junk category.  So,  not interested. 

2. The scrip of Reliance Capital has fallen to around Rs.15.15, while Reliance Infrastructure Ltd closed at Rs.26.40. It is interesting to note that while Anil Ambani is speaking of Rs.35,000 debt payment by ADA Group, post downgrade by CARE in September certain lenders have initiated acceleration of various facilities. According to a media report, this happening has triggered consequential demands for immediate payment of amounts that were otherwise due and payable in a phased manner over the next eight years till March 2028, as per the original terms of lending. Therefore,  with no clear visibility in the near term horizon,  I would suggest the investors and traders to stay away from both the counters.

Imp: I would probably recommend a new scrip on Monday,  after 10 pm.  Those, free members who are interested to take cues from my views can visit my blog on that day. 

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