The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
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Today's Call
1. Buy JSW Energy Ltd at Rs.73.90, T: Rs.84, SL: Rs.71.

2. Buy Reliance Communications Ltd at Rs.47.90, T: Rs.55, SL: Rs.46.70. The company has copious spectrum in the 800 MHz category, which is comparable with 700 MHz category.Since no bids were received for 700 MHz, 900 Mhz bands and hence those who are having could have lot of advantages; especially when 3G penetration is still very low in India ( Chance of growth is very in this space).

Four years after the launch of 3G services, there are just about 120 million 3G subscribers, barely 10 per cent of the total mobile user-base.

Even here, the quality of access leaves much to be desired with the average connection speed the lowest in the Asia-Pacific region.

Therefore, I feel in future the Centre and TRAI will keep this reality in mind while fixing the reserve price for upcoming auctions. So, in the coming days, the spectrum price in 700 MHz can come down substantially.

Also, contrary to expectations, the telecos like RCom -- RJio did not Invest too much in the spectrum buying. This give them ample room to spend on their infrastructure development.

4. Continue accumulating Adani Enterprises Ltd (Rs.68.25). The coal prices have started to Soar -- positive for the company.

5. Buy Jai Corp Ltd at Rs.73, T: Rs.75, SL: Rs.71.60.There were earlier media reports that environment and forest ministry has cleared the Navi Mumbai Airport.

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