The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
Rolta Ltd: Buy
CMP: Rs.72.20
Buy Rolta Ltd at Rs.72.20 for short term targets of Rs.77-79, SL--Rs.69. Rolta Ltd's Q4FY16, Consolidated PAT grew 26.3% QoQ as reported by PRNewswire. 

The stock fell today as S&P Global Ratings on Monday lowered its long-term corporate credit rating to 'CCC-' from 'B+'. This is a temporary phenomenon and the stock is expected to recover very soon. 

What the market has ignored till now is that, Fitch also believes that Rolta India Ltd, has a high chance of collecting these receivables because most receivables are from either government agencies or U.S.-based multi-national corporates.

Therefore, this is a sure shot risk free counter at the CMP of Rs.72.20.

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