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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
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Engineers India Ltd: Buy
CMP: Rs.177
Target: Rs.185
Period: 7 days

Engineers India Ltd., Navratna public-sector undertaking, will announce its financial results on May 23 for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2016.

IIFL estimates the company’s net profit to rise to Rs.91 crore at 46.1% Q-o-Q; however, it is likely to fall 16.7% Y-o-Y.

As per IIFL’s forecast, the company’s net revenue for Q4 FY16 is expected to soar to Rs.429 crore at 16.5% Q-o-Q; however, the same is likely to fall 12.2%,Y-o-Y.

Operating profit margin is likely to come in at 17.5%, with a Q-o-Q rise of 700 bps and 178 bps on a Y-o-Y basis. Not bad results at all. 

Moreover, the daily candle stick chart is giving some indication of the scrip bottoming out. In such circumstances it would be prudent to take position in the share of Engineers India Ltd at the CMP of Rs.177, for a short term target of Rs.185. SL--Rs.175 (strict). 

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