The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

Image
SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
DO YOU KNOW?
It is an irony that even after repeated trys, Saudis have failed to drown the US by flooding the markets with Crude oil (1.8 Mb/day of production). By now the Saudi Arabia might have understood their mistake and may work towards maintaining the much sought after Demand-Supply equilibrium.

If this happens then we could see the Crude oil prices shooting above $60/barrel, triggering a rally in the Commodity market. For Indian shareholders, this could be music as most of the time, the share price movement (in the Indian bourses) had been been directly proportional to the crude price.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog