The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
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WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
Glodyne Tech Ltd hits the buyer freeze in the opening trade. I had asked all in the Facebook to buy the IT companies, who has overseas subsidiaries. Because, unhedged depreciated rupee is expected to  have positive on the balance of these companies. Also, I had mentioned some days, back, that at present the company is doing 2-3 projects and is expected to get few more in the next couple of months. The current price of Rs.9.38 is absurd, it will soon move towards Rs.50, in the coming days, as the company is limping back to normalcy. 
My last week recommended Mastek Ltd at Rs.116-117, reached its first target of Rs.126 today, after it touched Rs.126.70, intra-day. The scrip closed at Rs.124.45, up 3.24% on a closing basis.
My recommended Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd at Rs.16-16.50, today touched Rs.18.40. Now if it crosses Rs.18.70, then the next target is Rs.21-22. The scrip was recommended on the twin reasons: (i) It has overseas subsidiaries and INR depreciation would help it (ii)  The government is likely to soon increase the customs duty on sugar to 15% from 10% now, two senior government officials said.
Today, buy was initiated at 6000 Nifty_Call at Rs.22-25, T--Rs.38, SL-Rs.21. It seems the target will be reached within a couple of days, as the downside appears to be limited. Get daily Nifty_Future levels and other details in the Paid Blog: http://sumanspeakspremiumservices.blogspot.in.
Join the Paid Service or Trade through my recommended Brokerage House/s, to remain constant updated on the market. Those who will trade through my recommended brokerage house will get the Paid Service Free, provided they do not have a portfolio size of less than Rs.2 lakhs (conditions apply). However in special cases, some concession can be allowed. Pay Rs.5000 per month, and get 5 (five) simple Nifty_Option calls (I never prefer complex things in the market, as you must have observed). Invest only Rs.25, 000--50, 000 in the Option market and make money. However, Option Trading is very risky, and if you cannot get out or book profits at the right time or do not honour  your Stop Losses, then your whole capital might be wiped out. Hence, before trying out your hand in the F & O please be careful, how much risk you are willing to take. One thing, which I would again like to Reiterate is that: In these market conditions, when it is becoming difficult even for the experts to make money, it could be suicidal, if the non--professional try their hands in the market.

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