The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
Inflation falls to 4.7% in May vs 4.89% in April
The WPI-based inflation fell to 4.7 per cent in May, driven mainly by softening prices of manufactured items, even as prices of food articles inched up.

Inflation based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) stood at 4.89 per cent in April. In May, 2012, it was 7.55 per cent.

As per official data released on Friday, WPI inflation in the manufactured items category declined to 3.11 per cent in May from 3.41 per cent in April.

The non-food articles category, which include fibre, oil seeds and minerals, saw sharp decline in inflation to 4.88 per cent, from 7.59 per cent in April.

However, inflation in food articles category, which has a 14.34 per cent share in the WPI basket, rose to 8.25 per cent in May. Inflation in this category was at 6.08 per cent in April.

The rise in food inflation was on account of increase in prices of onions, vegetables, cereals and protein-based items.

Inflation in vegetables stood at 4.85 per cent in May, against (-)9.05 per cent in the previous month.

The rate of price rise in onion was high at 97.40 per cent for the month, as against inflation rate of 91.69 per cent in April.

Inflation for March was revised downwards to 5.65 per cent from 5.96 per cent as per provisional estimates.

The inflation data would be closely watched by the Reserve Bank while formulating its mid-quarter policy which is scheduled on Monday.

There have been demands for a lower interest rate in the backdrop of declining inflation.

Finance Ministry sources, commenting on inflation numbers, said they would want lower interest rates and monetary policy transmission.

Courtesy: Business Today

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