The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason

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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence RBI Policy Decoded The Repo Rate Hike: Inflation Gave the Cover, the Rupee Gave the Reason The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. With the rupee at ₹96.78 to the dollar, the Fed at 3.75–4.00 percent and bank credit growing near 18 percent, the fuller story is bigger than August CPI of 4.8 percent. The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026. It is the first hike since February 2023, and the stance has moved from neutral to calibrated tightening. The rate decision was unanimous. The Governor cited inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee said the inflation outlook is no longer as comfortable as it was last year, and near-term rate cuts were taken off the table. That is the official story, and it is not wrong. But it is incomplete. Look at what surrounds the decision: a rupee near its record...
Market Mantra
My Nifty_Futures achieved the target of 5630 and is now moving up. I have mentioned yesterday, that I am bullish on Nifty, in view of the recent developments in New Delhi. 
My speculative pick Shree Asthavinayak Cine Vison Ltd hit its 4th consecutive buyer freeze and is almost near its target of Rs.3.20. I would suggest all to book 80% of the profits in the counter as it is very risky to keep on holding positions in these kinds of stocks, as there are too many problems in the company. Instead put that money in either Tulip Telecom Ltd (Rs.37) or Onmobile Global Ltd (Rs.41.70). 
Today's call: Buy Opto Circuits Ltd at Rs.101-102, T--Rs.121, SL---Rs.95. The company came out with superb set of numbers for the Q2FY13. The companies like Opto Circuits, will benefit from Organized retailing.

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