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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
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WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT:
Refex Refrigerants Ltd hits the buyer freeze in the late afternoon trade. The scrip was recommended in this blog, last week for a price target of Rs.32-39. The season of the company is going on and the company has ventured into a new line of business. In FY11, the total revenue of the company was Rs.82.39 Cr, while the net profit of the company was Rs.7.23 Cr as against Rs.52.70 and a net loss of Rs.16.37 Cr in FY10. The EPS of the company for the FY11 is Rs.4.67 and CEPS of the company is Rs.6.31--this should give a minimum price of the scrip of around Rs.32-39, giving all discounts

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