Image
DEEP DIVE ANALYSIS • NSE: NEWGEN • FY26 RESULTS Newgen Software Technologies Ltd: From ₹1,336 TO ₹493 — Valuation Reset or the Next Enterprise AI Compounder?  What the Q4 FY26 Numbers Actually Reveal Beneath the Midcap IT Bloodbath By SUMAN MUKHOPADHYAY | SumanSpeaks Independent Research • June 02, 2026 Newgen Software Technologies Ltd (Rs. 493)   was last trading at a pproximately ₹493 — down nearly 63% from its 52-week high near ₹1,336. In most cases, such a collapse signals severe business deterioration. But Newgen’s FY26 financials tell a far more complicated story. The company remains debt-light, highly profitable, cash-generative, and structurally positioned in one of the most important enterprise themes globally: AI-enabled workflow orchestration. Yet the stock has suffered one of the sharpest valuation compressions in the Indian en...
Market Mantra:
(i) Buy Nifty futures at 5510, T--5580, SL--5491. The IIP Numbers is just a misnomer, because the things already happened in the past and the  markets have already factored that.....Also, people knew there is a slowdown going on (and hence there is as such no surprise) and the inflation is expected to come down in future. The RBI might not raise the interest rates in the next meet at the end of this month. There are chances that the in future the growth could again start because: (a) The crude is falling (ii) the interest rate could come down (iv) the commodity prices are coming down......So, the picture is bullish and not bearish...hence don't get carried away by some stray news...!!
(ii) The markets took positive cues from the removal of the environmental ministers Mr.Jairam Ramesh, which has already been mentioned in Facebook and Yahoo Messanger. This would have positive effect on metal/mining and renewable energy counters. Already Coal India Ltd is moving up. 
(iii) The results of Infosy Technologies Ltd is neutral and hence should not have too much effect on the markets or on IT Counters. 
(iv) The Nifty futures should not break 5503 on the closing basis and hence you are sitting on a  pretty safe field. 
(v) The markets could surprise us and move at a much higher than what it is trading now, 5510-5508.
(vi) The Crude prices are expected not to move up in the near term basically due to two factors: (a) the US releasing crude oil from its reserves and (b) there is demand destruction both from China and India due to slowing down of their economies.
(vii) Buy Jai Corp Ltd at Rs.122, T--Rs.132 and HDIL at Rs.160, T--Rs.175, SL--Rs.155 and Vikash Metal and Power Ltd at Rs.11.70, T--Rs.17, SL--Rs.10.50. 
(viii) The European market and Dow Jones are also expected to recover going forward. 
(ix) Buy Rolta Ltd at Rs. 126, T--Rs.135, SL--Rs.117. 
(x) Valuations are not extremely cheap, but they are at a level where some of the negatives may be in the price, says Suresh Mahadevan of UBS Securities. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog