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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
Overseas investors buy the India story again
Shobhana Subramanian / Mumbai July 23, 2009
Indian equity is clearly back in favour with overseas investors, and the consensus among investment bankers is that the election results have made all the difference.
Brijesh Mehra, head (corporate clients), ABN Amro, said fund managers were less risk-averse to India, now that a stable government was in power. “Moreover, while the rest of the world is still coming to terms with the economic downturn, the India story still holds,” he said.
The India story not only holds, it is getting stronger, going by the spate of GDR (Global Depository Receipt) issues and Qualified Institutional Placements (QIPs) over the last one month.
While nearly $4 billion has been mopped by companies through QIPs, more than $2 billion has come in through GDRs and ADRs (American Depository Receipts). Among the bigger fund raisers have been Sterlite, which picked up $1.5 billion, Tata Steel ($500 million), Tata Power ($335 million) and Suzlon, which managed to raise around $110 million.
Mehra pointed out there was no shortage of money with fund managers. “Individuals overseas continue to save — whether through insurance companies or asset management companies, so there is enough money coming in,” he said. Money is not just coming in from traditional markets such as the US and Asia but also from Europe.
Vedika Bhandarkar, head (investment banking), JP Morgan, said of late a fair share of the inflows were from continental Europe. “We’ve seen several new funds participating from countries such as France, Italy and Germany,” she pointed out, adding that the trend was visible not just for primary market issuances but in the secondary market, too.
Asians, however, remain the biggest investors, contributing to most of the subscription — 40 to 45 per cent — for the GDR issues. Twenty-five to 30 per cent of the money is flowing in from the US and a similar amount from Europe. It’s pretty much the same for a QIP, said investment bankers, except that about 10 per cent of the issue would be subscribed to by Indian institutions, so that the US and Europe would be contributing slightly less.
Sanjay Sharma, managing director and head (capital markets), Deutsche Bank, said investors participating in the GDR issuances were mainly long-only funds, as also India-dedicated funds, emerging market funds and BRIC funds and several hedge funds. As for the QIPs, Indian institutions, too, have shown appetite.
For their part, companies have been quick to cash in on the change in the investor sentiment and the abundant liquidity. Pradip Shah, chairman, Asia Fund Advisors, is impressed with the speed and efficiency with which money has been raised. “After the private sector players, it will now be the turn of PSUs to pick up money,” he said.

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