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SumanSpeaks Independent Capital Markets & Geopolitical Intelligence POLITICAL ECONOMY | PART 1: THE TELECOM TEST The Sangh’s Costliest Blunder: Keeping Narendra Modi in the Chair After Demonetisation and a Trail of U-Turns Two private giants, one state-propped survivor, roughly ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced BSNL revival and support packages (spectrum allocation included), and ₹1.41 lakh crore of AGR dues still on the books: telecom shows what happens when one man’s brand becomes the party’s only policy. This is an argument against Narendra Modi, not against the BJP. SYNOPSIS India’s telecom market has narrowed from a messy but real plurality into two dominant private networks, one weak private survivor kept alive by government equity, and a public operator that has needed about ₹3.22 lakh crore in announced support packages and spectrum allocations, not all of it cash. The 2010 spectrum auctions that started the debt spiral were a UPA-era event, and we say so plainly. But a ...
Today's Afternoon Call->30th September, 2006:
Buy:(Updated)

1. ABC India Ltd.

CMP--->Rs.39 This is a transport company, which will benefit from the fall in the prices of petroleum products viz: Petrol and Diesel. The company came out with decent set of number for FY-05-06 and for the September, 2006 quarter. The most important part is that these transport companies will benefit immensely, from the Retail Boom which is expected to take place soom. Transport companies will give the logistic feedback to Multinational Comapanies and also to the Mom & Pop stores. I have placed a target of Rs.80--Rs.120 with the current scenario of fall in crude prices. If the Crude price falls further then we can see its price cross Rs.150.. 2. Roto Pumps Ltd. This is a pump company which has completed restructuring exercise. The company should do well in view of the Agriculture and Infrastructure Doing well. The 9.2% GDP growth should see help pump companies register mammoth growth, both in top line and bottomline. 3. Samkrg Piston and Rings Ltd. Should cross Rs.100 in 18 months time. The expected EPS for FY07 should be between Rs.8-Rs.9. This will be another beneficiary from the fall in the prices of Petroleum products. It is one of the cheapest stock in the auto ancillary space. Should Cross Rs.150 in a years time. Full report on www.eindiabrokers.com. I am coming up with a new report on the company soon. 4. Soma Textiles Industries Ltd. This company came out with decent set of numbers for the September, 2006 quarter. This company should now get the fruits of restructuring exercise it carried till the earlier part of this year. The company will also get cheap electricity from MSEB. The company could get some orders from Bangladesh. Please take out some money from Conart Engineers Ltd, Hazoor Media and Power, Radhe Developers Ltd and PBA Infrastructure Ltd to buy these secrips. ALL THESE SCRIPS ARE FOR DELIVERY PURPOSE AND NOT FOR DAILYMANEUVERINGS. SCRIPS SHOULD BE BOUGHT WTH 8 MONTHS TO 18 MONTHS TIME FRAME---THOUGH THE PROFITS ARE EXPECTED TO COME MUCH EARLIER. More in the following postings..... Best wishes, Suman Mukherjee India. www.sumanspeaks.blogspot.com

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