Today's Calls

1. Buy Gammon India Ltd at Rs.10.20, T: Rs.12, SL: Rs.8.70. The stock of Gammon Infrastructure is up more than 5% today. The company reported a narrower losses for the December quarter. Mumbai-based Gammon India Ltd posted a standalone loss of Rs.20.53 crore for the three-month period that ended on December 31, 2016, compared with Rs 119.06 crore for the corresponding period a year ago.

2. Those who are holding IVRCL Ltd (Rs.5.05) should continue to add on intra day dips. The infrastructure stocks will now run up.

IVRCL Ltd: Some Thoughts

CMP: Rs.5.05

Photo: Indian Tollways

The Hyderabad based infrastructure player IVRCL Limited will get Rs.400 crore from the sale of three road projects (Salem Tollways Limited, Kumarapalayam Tollways and Chengapalli Tollways) -- Of this it will receive Rs.315 crore by 31 March and the balance in September 2017, according to some sources.

Though lenders are reluctant to give new loans, last year it was sanctioned a fresh non-fund credit of Rs.1,800 crore in bank guarantees and letter of credit, in addition to a cash credit limit of Rs.200 crore as part of the CDR deal.

The company has an order book of around Rs.18,000 crore.

Apart from monetising the assets, there are six more in line, it has decided to focus on realising the claims amounting to over Rs.6000 crore from various government projects. 

The company wants to utilise the new arbitration law that brings down the time limit for the settlement of a commercial dispute, for this purpose.

At a joint lenders forum meeting for IVRCL, banks had earlier decided to invoke strategic debt restructuring. Around Rs.7,500 crore worth of loans given to IVRCL has been converted into shares by bankers, including State Bank of India and IDBI Ltd, allowing them to own 51%.

SDR allows banks to convert debt into equity and make management changes if the company fails to achieve certain milestones.

Last year the company said: 

“Pursuant to provisions of Companies Act, 2013 and Sebi (Issue of Capital Disclosure Requirement) Regulations, 2009 and implementation of SDR, the company has made an allotment of 6,46,810 equity shares at a price of Rs.8.765 each, to Bank of Nova Scotia".

Those banks that hold a stake in the company are Andhra Bank ICICI Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, IDBI Bank, Canara Bank and Corporation Bank. Now this prove of Rs.8.765 somewhat forms a datum for future price discoveries.

Now that Banks have already taken control of IVRCL Ltd, the Hyderabad-based construction company and have converted loans into equity, it makes sense to find a buyer sooner rather than later.

The infrastructure fund of multi-asset manager IDFC Alternatives has been one of the most active buyers of operational road assets in India, ahead of peer investors including US-based I Squared Capital and Canada’s Brookfield Asset Management.


On the other side, Piramal Enterprises Ltd, controlled by billionaire Ajay Piramal, which said in 2014 that it was looking to buy a number of road assets, is yet to announce a deal.

The Indian infrastructure sector has an estimated capacity to absorb $1 trillion. India plans to invest almost Rs4 trillion in the next financial year in creating and upgrading infrastructure.

According to a report last year by investment bank Ambit Corporate Finance and the City of London, global pension funds and sovereign wealth funds may invest up to $50 billion in India’s infrastructure sector over the next five years.

Meanwhile, the A$127 billion (Rs6.4 trillion) Australian Government Future Fund is looking to invest in the Indian infrastructure space, including roads, telecommunications and clean energy.

Recently there were media reports that Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services Ltd (IL&FS) has partnered with global private equity (PE) firm Lone Star to jointly invest in stressed infrastructure projects in India.

Lone Star Funds and IL&FS have collaborated to jointly invest $550 million, which could result in asset purchases of up to $2.5 billion, the companies said in a joint statement.

A interesting point to note is that on November 2008, the Maharashtra (state) PWD, then headed by former minister Chhagan Bhujbal, had proposed to widen the 20 km Sion-Panvel Highway (Mumbai -- Navi Mumbai connectivity) with a new toll naka at Kamothe (Navi Mumbai). In June 2009, a tender notice was issued and the IVRCL-Kakade Infrastructure Pvt Ltd (KIPL) joint venture—Sion-Panvel Tollways Ltd—bagged the contract by offering the lowest viability gap fund of Rs 390 crore. Now KIPL is owned by BJP MP Sanjay Kakade. So, at present IVRCL Ltd (Rs.5.05) has some Narendra Modi (BJP) connections -- both at the centre and in Andhra Pradesh, we have NDA rule.

In mid-February, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley presented his 2017 Union Budget to the Parliament where he outlined his plan for infrastructure and railways.

The funds allow state-owned Indian Railways to modernize its infrastructure and service operations, which includes laying 3,500 kilometers of new tracks in the coming year (2017-18) and feeding 7,000 stations with solar power in the medium term. Jaitley also announced a new Metro Rail Act to streamline existing laws, and allow greater private participation in construction and operation. It is to be remembered that IVRCL Ltd is also a player in the Railway sector.

India's infrastructure development is set to accelerate and meet global benchmarks even if the private sector is not in a hurry to grab the vast investment opportunities that are opening up, top cabinet ministers said at the Economic Times India Infra Summit 2017.

The government has set an ambitious target of laying roads up to 40 km per day in the country. Till February in FY16-17, about 6,500 km of roads construction has been done, seeing a growth from the previous financial year, when just 6,000 km of roads have been laid.

Therefore, we can look forward for the buy out of the stressed assets IVRCL Ltd soon. investors can therefore accumulate the scrip of IVRCL Ltd in dips, for Short term targets of Rs.8-9.

Today's Calls

1. Buy Reliance Defense and Engineering Ltd at Rs.63.70, T: Rs.72-78, SL: Rs.61. The stock

Photo: The Economic Times

has now entered into the F&O segment.

2. Those who still holding the shares of my recommended Suzlon energy Ltd (Rs.19.10), can look for targets of Rs.21-22, in the coming days. This scrip has also entered in the F&O space.

3. Those who have entered JSE Energy Ltd (Rs.62.25) yesterday at around Rs.60.80, can continue to hold with a SL of Rs.59. Recently, there were some positive developments in the company.

4. Buy Hindustan Oil Exploration Ltd at Rs.72.70, T: Rs.78-82, SL: Rs.68.60. The Union Cabinet’s decision on Wednesday to grant extension to production sharing contracts for 10 blocks will benefit Cairn India Ltd (CIL), Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), Essar Oil, Focus Energy, Hindustan Oil Exploration Company (HOEC), and Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Ltd (GSPC).
The contracts for these pre-NELP (New Exploration Licensing Policy) exploratory blocks will be extended for 10 years from the expiry of their contracts. The move, the government said, will help accelerate indigenous production of hydrocarbons from existing blocks and act as a progressive step towards achieving the target of 10 per cent reduction in import of crude oil by 2022.


5. Those who have entered the turnaround infrastructure major, IVRCL Ltd (Rs.5.20), can look for targets of around Rs.7-8, in the coming days.  IVRCL Ltd is now basically (majority stake) owned by a consortium of lenders (Banks), hence accumulated debt is no longer a big problem. However, what seems to be a little bothering is working capital requirements.
Moreover, since the conversion price is around Rs.8.765 (~Rs.9), hence the scrip is likely to move towards this new found datum.

Today's Calls

1. Buy JSW Energy Ltd at Rs.60.90, T: Rs.66-72, SL; Rs.59. JSW Energy, part of the Sajjan

Jindal-led JSW Group, is believed to be in the race for buying out the thermal power assets of Monnet Power and Jindal India Thermal Power Ltd (JITPL) in Odisha. Monnet Power’s 1,050 Mw coal-based power plant near Angul was in advanced stage of commissioning.  Monnet Power’s parent company, Monnet Ispat & Energy had won the Mandakini coal block in Odisha in competitive bidding, it surrendered the block later on grounds of economic unviability. Monnet Power had accumulated debt in excess of Rs 5,000 crore. 

2. Those who are holding the shares of Tata Motors Ltd (Rs.469.50), can continue to hold the same with a SL: Rs.459. The stock is on an uptrend, and is likely to move above Rs.470, in a short time.

3. Buy IVRCL Ltd at Rs.5.15, T: Rs.7, SL: Rs.4.60.
There were earlier media reports that Essel Infraprojects Ltd is in advanced talks to buy a controlling stake in Hindustan Dorr-Oliver (HDO), a publicly traded unit of infra developer IVRCL Ltd.
Meanwhile, the lenders to IVCRL had decided in December last year to convert their debt in the company to equity under the strategic debt restructuring (SDR) mechanism. On 24 February, IVRCL told stock exchanges that State Bank of India, on behalf of the lenders, has informed the company that lenders have approved the SDR conversion package. Lenders converted part of the firm’s debt into equity at a price of Rs8.765 per share. After the conversion, the lenders collectively hold 51% or more of the total share capital of the company. Infrastructure major IVRCL reported narrowing of its net loss to Rs.249.27 crore for the third quarter ended December 2016. The company had registered a net loss of Rs.345.47 crore in the same period a year ago.

However, net income from operations during the quarter also declined to Rs.397.88 crore as against Rs.501.46 crore in the year-ago period.
Total expenditure fell to Rs.479.88 crore during October-December 2016 as against Rs.700.49 crore in the previous financial year.

4. Those who have entered Panacea Biotech Ltd at Rs.155, can book some profits at Rs.161 and wait for dips to enter.

Today's Calls

1. The Nifty (spot) is expected to get support at 9010 - 9030 ranges, which is just arms length

from the current value of Nifty 9,053.45 which is now down 68.05 points or 0.75%. The traders are suggested to cover all your shorts.

2. Fresh positions (or averaging) can be initiated in Rolta India Ltd at Rs.58.80-58.90, for immediately targets of Rs.61.20-61.50.

3. Those who are holding the shares of Panacea Biotech Ltd (Rs.155), should add in every decline for immediate targets of Rs.167-170. The stock is likely to touch Rs.220-250, in the medium term.

4. Those who are holding the shares of RCom (Rs.37.50), should look for targets of Rs.42-47, as RJio has come up with Paid Service, drawing curtains to the Free Services.

Today's Calls

1. Buy Panacea Biotech Ltd at Rs.155-156, T: Rs.170, SL: Rs.152.   Renowned cardiologist Dr

.Devi Shetty founded multi-speciality hospital chain Narayana Hrudayalaya is on the prowl to bolster its footprint in the domestic healthcare services market. ET NOW learns from multiple sources privy to ongoing discussions that the Bangalore, Karnataka headquartered firm is in advanced talks to buy out Delhi based drugmaker Panacea Biotec's multi super-speciality hospital located in Gurgaon, Harayana. 

On the other hand, Narayana Hrudalaya confirmed that the company has been in discussions with Panacea Biotec for Gurgaon Hospital since October 2015.

Giving the chronological order of the events, the company said in December 2016, it had signed a non-binding MoU with the counter party and in March this year, due diligence is under progress. The company  in January this year, got the US Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) approval for Rizatripan Bonzoate tablet, which is used to treat symptoms due to migraine.

The company also entered a long term agreement with UNICEF for suplying Pentavalent vaccine.

2. Those who have entered UCO Bank should keep a strict SL of Rs.35.50 and keep holding. The banking sector is in mess, with Narendra Modi's government till date giving only lip service. That stock did not move much even lafter the announcement of infusion of capital raises further concerns regarding its health/asset quality. If you are not comfortable then exit at Rs.35.90-30, with no profit or with minimum loss near the recommended prices.

3. Those who are holding Tata Motors Ltd can continue to hold with a SL of Rs.466. Most of the brokerage houses are positive on the scrip. However, too much optimism make a stock over but owned, which is also not good.

4. The scrip of BHEL (Rs.169.40) was recommended in this blog around Rs.105-1 107 the scrip made a 52-week high today at Rs.172.10 in the NSE. The investors are suggested to book complete profits and wait on the sidelines, for entry at dips. When I recommended the stock many of the research houses and brokerages were extremely bearish, some were giving targets as low as Rs.70.

Large Scale Capital Infusion: Cure for PSU Banks (PSBs)....

Photo: UCO Bank

The banking sector, which is laden with bad loans, plays a critical role in carrying out the government's development agenda but unfortunately hereto precious little has being done to revive this space.

A recent study found that the gross “non-performing assets” of state banks rose 56% in 2016, and 135% in the last two years. They now account for 11% of all state bank loans.

These are hardly reassuring figures. Yet the Narendra Modi's government—which, after all, owns these banks and thus dominates the Indian financial sector— seens relatively unconcerned. In the most recent budget, the government set aside barely $1.5 billion to recapitalize the banks.

You must have read that off late there were some capital infusion in 10 banks by the government of India. The name of the banks and the amount of capital to be infused by the government are:

Allahabad Bank (Rs.418 cr), Andhra Bank (Rs.1,100 cr), Bank of India (Rs.1,500 cr), Bank of Maharashtra (Rs.300 cr), Central Bank of India (Rs.100 cr), Dena Bank (Rs.600 cr), IDBI Bank (Rs.1,900 cr), Indian Overseas Bank (Rs.1,100 cr), UCO Bank (Rs.1,150 cr), and United Bank of India (Rs.418 cr).

However, Large-scale capital infusion in individual banks, consolidation or culling or even creation of a bad bank is the need of the hour.

Or else as the negative effects of demonetisation slowly tapers down and investment demand picks up in a big way, corporate borrowers will be scrambling for credit, but the banking system will be  find hard put to support India’s growth; leading to borrowings through ECB routes or FCCBs or through PE capital or Equity.

Moreover, while India government’s demonetization exercise which forced citizens to return old high-value notes in November-December period, might have had many side effects, however it the helped banks to grow deposits. 

Also, as a percentage of total loan assets, roughly one-third of all loans of United Bank of India (33.07%) and IOB (32.63%) are stressed. For IDBI Bank, this ratio is 27.76% and Uco, 21.71%. Thus the position of UCO Bank (Rs.36) is the best among the four indebted banks.

Besides, most analysts say that the government will be able to stick to the target of a fiscal deficit of 3.5% of gross domestic product, or GDP, in the current fiscal year that ends in March and aim for at least 3.3% fiscal deficit for 2018. It is to.be noted that successive governments have been diligently lowering the fiscal deficit for several years since 2012 when the deficit touched 5.9% of GDP.

While no one can question the importance of keeping the fiscal deficit low, the FMO should also focus on smart reforms in the banking industry.

In August 2015, finance minister Arun Jaitley announced the grand Indradhanush plan—the “solution to the problems” of the industry, which Modi explored in Gyan Sangam. It promised to tackle several critical issues, including appointments, capitalization, stress in the system, empowerment, accountability and governance reforms to revamp functioning of the government-owned banks.

Estimating the capital requirement between fiscal year 2015 and 2019 at around Rs1.8 trillion, assuming 12-15% growth in bank credit, the government has committed to pump in Rs70,000 crore in phases till 2019 when the new Basel norms kick in. It also feels that the public sector banks’ (PSBs) market valuations will improve significantly following governance reforms, tight bad loan management and risk controls, significant operating improvements and, of course, capital allocation in successive budgets.

Higher valuations, coupled with sale of non-core assets as well as improvement in performance would enable these banks to raise money from the market, the government had said.

It also issued a circular that said there would be no interference from the government and the banks would be encouraged to take their decisions independently, keeping the commercial interest of the organization in mind. 

Many of the government-owned banks that have around 70% share of banking assets are laden with bad loans and need capital to stay afloat. 

But till date most part of these declarations remained in paper only. The government of the day therefore should do this task on a priority basis, before the things are too late and damage becomes irreversible. If this governmentu is as bold and courageous as it likes to claim, that should be its topmost agenda.

However, inspite  of all these negatives, the banks stocks are on a steady rise since the last few months -- may be market knows something which we do not know. Now that the BJP has improved its position further, we could see a spurt in the Bank Stocks in the near term, as banks are a proxy to any economy.

Today's Calls

1. Buy UCO Bank Ltd at Rs.35.80, T: Rs.42, SL: Rs.35.50. The stock has formed a double

bottom on EOD charts and should move up. The name of the banks and the amount of capital to be infused by the government are:
Allahabad Bank (Rs.418 cr), Andhra Bank (Rs.1,100 cr), Bank of India (Rs.1,500 cr), Bank of Maharashtra (Rs.300 cr), Central Bank of India (Rs.100 cr), Dena Bank (Rs.600 cr), IDBI Bank (Rs.1,900 cr), Indian Overseas Bank (Rs.1,100 cr), UCO Bank (Rs.1,150 cr), and United Bank of India (Rs.418 cr).

Most analysts say that the NDA government will be able to stick to the target of a fiscal deficit of 3.5% of gross domestic product, or GDP, in the current fiscal year that ends in March and aim for at least 3.3% fiscal deficit for 2018. India's successive governments have been diligently lowering the fiscal deficit for seven years since 2012 when the deficit touched 5.9% of GDP. While India government’s demonetization exercise which forced citizens to return old high-value notes in November-December period, might have had many side effects, it the helped banks to grow deposits. Meanwhile, my earlier recommended Dena Bank Ltd (38.70) is up 4.59% today.

2. Those who are holding Tata Motors Ltd (Rs.472), should exit at intra-day highs, and enter banking or IT sectors. The long term holders, can keep a SL of Rs.466.

3. Those who have entered Rolta India Ltd, should give at least 6-9 months to the scrip, to generate some decent returns. This scrip may not perform in the immediate short term.

4. Nifty is now trading at 9,123.60 down 36.45 points or 0.40%. But I feel, a strong government with around two third majority in Uttar Pradesh is positive for the stock market. I am expecting the Nifty to close in the Green today. Let us see....

An Important Announcement

Photo: iDefigo

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Reliance Communications: The Future Telecom Godzilla

CMP: Rs.38.25

The stock of RCom has been on a steady upmove since the last few days, as Reliance Jio (RJio) is scheduled to start its Paid Service from next month. This has again brought the stocks of Telecom companies into Focus. The scrip of Idea Cellular (Rs.108) has almost doubled from its 52-week low price of Rs.65.80, due to Vodafone news. Following similar positive trails, the share of RCom is also expected to touch Rs.71-72 in the next 6-9 months time. I have ben saying since sometime that it should not go below Rs.30, and till date, this has not been violated (52-week low: Rs.30.60 in the NSE); which somewhat attests to my buy on declines stand.

Meanwhile, there are recent media reports that, Anil Ambani-promoted Reliance Communications Ltd (RCom) has obtained approval from capital markets regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) to spin-off and merge its wireless division with Aircel Ltd and Dishnet Wireless Ltd, as per stock market disclosure.

The proposed merger, which is expected to create India’s third-largest telecom operator by users on completion of the deal, has also received nod from the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd and BSE Ltd.

Following this, RCom has now filed an application with National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), Mumbai Bench, for its approval, it said in a statement.

Mumbai-based RCom has signed a definitive agreement to merge its wireless business with smaller rival Aircel in September last year. The merged entity will combine RCom’s wireless business and Aircel’s operations in India, including all the spectrum held by the two companies.

The approval takes it one step closer to the deal which will allow RCom, which will retain all the non-wireless business, to streamline its divisions and reduce debt by Rs20,000 crore, or roughly 48% of the Rs41,362.1 crore outstanding as of 31 March 2016.

On the other side, Aircel, owned by Maxis Communications Bhd, will see its debt reduce by Rs4,000 crore, upon completion of the transaction in 2017.

Once the deal is completed, which is subject to other necessary approvals, Both RCom and Maxis Communications will hold 50% each in the merged entity and have equal representation on the board and committees.

The merged company’s subscribers will have access to nationwide 4G LTE services in the sub-1GHz band, under RCom’s existing nationwide spectrum sharing and intra-circle roaming arrangements with Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd.

RCom already has enough of the luctrative 800 MHz spectrum necessary for 4G transmission, and which it shares with RJio. Also, as RJio expands it will benefit RCom, as the former is using latter's network (infrastructure), at a price.

Now if we look at the chart of RCom, we can see the formation of a Dragonfly Doji like pattern on the uptrend (though, not exactly).  

It will pertinent to mention here that Thomas N. Bulkowski in his book, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts wrote:

"The dragonfly doji is an interesting name for a candle that is supposed to act as a bullish reversal. It is a reversal candle, but only half the time. Random, in other words. If you see a dragonfly doji in the bush, do not be frightened. The 10-day performance after the breakout ranks it 98th out of 103 candles, where 1 is best. In other words, ignore it. Its bite is usually not fatal. Usually.

The dragonfly doji is an interesting name for a candle that is supposed to act as a bullish reversal. It is a reversal candle, but only half the time. Random, in other words. If you see a dragonfly doji in the bush, do not be frightened. The 10-day performance after the breakout ranks it 98th out of 103 candles, where 1 is best. In other words, ignore it. Its bite is usually not fatal. Usually".

Therefore, I feel the traders should continue to accumulate RCom, for immediate targets of Rs.54 - 55 - 57 - 60, from where it fell -- the good days are to return for the shareholders of RCom.

Today's Call

1. Buy Rolta India Ltd at Rs.59.10-59.30, T: Rs.72, SL: Rs.56. Rolta Ltd will be one of the biggest

beneficiaries of the BJP win. Defence industry was initially run by a monopoly and it was difficult to take a product to people who were not willing to give something new a try.

However currently, Bharat Electronics Ltd, Rolta India Ltd and Tata are the major suppliers of defence products. In 2015, the BEL-Rolta India consortium bagged the Ministry of Defence’s (MoD) development agency order for the Battlefield Management System (BMS) project, worth over Rs.50,000 crore. BMS is an awareness and visualisation system that aims to optimise the effectiveness of tactical units.

To elaborate, the NDA government's “Make in India” policy got a boost when two Indian consortia were selected for the $5.95 billion. Battlefield Management System (BMS) contract for integrating all surveillance resources available at the battalion or regiment level, including from locally launched UAVs and ground sensors. Fourteen contenders had formed four consortia to vie for this prestigious contract.

The two selected – one comprising Tata Power Strategic Engineering Division (SED) and L&T, and the other, Rolta India and the DPSU, Bharat Electricals Ltd (BEL) – will each develop four BMS prototypes for mountain, jungle, plains and desert operations. The BMS will pinpoint the locations of Indian and enemy troops and key weapons platforms as well as facilitate terrain analysis to achieve improved situational awareness.

Rolta India Limited (Rolta), a leading provider of innovative IP-led IT solutions for many vertical segments, including Defence and Security, announced unaudited financial results for quarter ended December 31, 2016 (Q3 FY -17) last month.

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS:

• Consolidated Revenue for Q3 FY-17 at Rs. 911.23cr (Rs. 9.11 Billion) against Rs. 736.95 cr (Rs. 7.37 Billion) in Q2 FY-17, registering a growth of 23.6 % Q-o-Q.
• Consolidated EBITDA for Q3 FY-17 at Rs. 254.75 cr (Rs. 2.55 Billion) against Rs. 217.12 cr (Rs. 2.17 Billion) in Q2 FY-17, registering a growth of 17.3% Q-o-Q.
• Consolidated profit after tax for Q3 FY-17 at Rs. 36.94 cr (Rs. 3.69 Billion) against Rs. 54.30 cr (Rs. 5.43 Billion) in Q2 FY-17, registering a decline of 32.0% Q-o-Q.
• Foreign Exchange loss for Q3 FY-17 at Rs. 16.09 cr (Rs. 1.61 Billion) against a gain of Rs. 15.79 cr (Rs. 1.58 Billion) in Q2 FY-17 impacting the profit after tax in Q3 FY-17 versus Q2 FY-17.

Mr. K. K. Singh, Chairman and Managing Director has said, "Rolta has consciously made efforts to remain at the forefront as a solutions provider with a sharp focus on the Digital revolution. Having made significant investments in the recent years, the Company today, is well positioned to address the huge Digital Transformation opportunities in the markets it serves."

2. Those who are holding the shares of Vedanta Ltd (Rs.256) from around Rs.251-252, can continue to hold for a target of Rs.272.

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Happy Holi to all...

Today's Calls

1. Buy Vedanta Ltd (or average) at Rs.251.15, T: Rs.257-261, SL: Rs.247.  According to MoneyControl.com:

Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage on Vedanta with an overweight call, citing the company’s potential to grow going forward.

The research firm feels that it is the fastest-growing aluminum and zinc company globally. “The balance sheet risk has subsided, which has positioned VEDL on par with global miners and better than local peers,” it said in a report. Additionally, it forecasts a 30 percent FCF CAGR for FY17-19.

Meanwhile, the company in February reported a 4.5-fold jump in third quarter consolidated profit at Rs 1,866 crore on year-on-year basis, boosted by operational performance and low base in year-ago period despite sharp rise in tax expenses.

Revenue during the quarter increased 29.6 percent to Rs 20,393 crore compared with Rs 15,731 crore in corresponding quarter of last fiscal, driven by metals business.

"Revenues in Q3 were driven by higher volumes at iron ore due to recommencement of operations, ramp-up of volumes at the aluminium and power businesses and higher volumes at Copper India and Zinc India. This was partially offset by lower volumes from oil & gas, and Zinc International due to closure of the Lisheen mine, in Q3 FY2016," the company said in its filing.

The company also outlined big plans to invest in Jharkhand last month. Keen to get a strong foothold in Jharkhand, Agarwal said that he had "big plans" for the state but initial foray will be with USD 1 billion investment that includes setting up a 1 million tonne steel plant.

Dubbing Jharkhand as "a diamond in the crown of the world", Vedanta Resources Group Chairman Anil Agarwal said the state is "full of potential" and Vedanta has big plans for it.

"There is a lot of potential...This (Jharkhand) is a real Australia in India with its huge natural resources. We have abig plan but we will start with the medium size or small size project...We intend to set up a one million tonne of steel plant," Agarwal told PTI in an interview.

2. Those who have entered in Inox Wind Ltd at around Rs.169.30-170, should book at least 80% of profits at Rs.185 and hold the rest with a SL of Rs.181. Reentering on dips is suggested in intra - day dips. However, SL at Rs.179 is a must, for fresh entries.

Today's Calls

1. Buy ACC Ltd at Rs.1407, T: Rs.1425-1450, SL: Rs.1386. This is a pure chart based call.

2. Those who have bought the shares of Inox Wind Ltd yesterday at around Rs.169.30-170, can book partial profits at Rs.173 and hold the rest with a SL: Rs.170.40.

3. After Inox Wind Ltd (CMP: Rs.178), you can buy another power company which is alao into green energy: Buy Reliance Power Ltd at Rs.46.10, T: Rs.51, SL: Rs.45. Reliance Power claims on its website it has the largest portfolio of power projects in the private sector based on thermal and renewable energy with an operating capacity of 5,945 Megawatt.
Reliance Power Ltd posted a net profit of Rs. 434.30 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2016 as compared to Rs. 3493.40 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015. Total Income has decreased from Rs. 4072.70 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 to Rs. 1665.30 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2016.
The Group has posted consolidated net profit after tax, minority interest and share of profit / (Loss) of associates of Rs. 2757.00 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2016 as compared to Rs. 2410.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015. Total Income has increased from Rs. 25568.00 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 to Rs. 29845.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2016.


4. Those who are holding the shares of Future Enterprises Ltd (Rs.17.70) from Rs.17.50-18, can look for short term target of Rs.32-35. Today, the scrip made a high of Rs.28.75. The retail space has started to gather steam post demonetisation.

5. Those who have again entered Tata Motors (Rs.468.30) above Rs.63 or did not exit yesterday (though SL was not hit), can look for targets of Rs.488-497.

6. The Indian markets are slowly recovering and at the end of the day, it should close in the green. The Nifty is now trading at 8,917.05 down 7.25 points or 0.08%.

Today's Call

1. Get of Tata Motors Ltd (Rs.462.50) as the scrip could slip to Rs.456-450. However, if it sustains above Rs.463, you can again enter.

2. The correction in Indian markets, may not be too deep, as it looks now. Buy Vedanta Ltd at Rs.252.10, T:Rs.261, SL: Rs.248. Analysts at JP Morgan remain overweight on Hindalco and Vedanta even though the stocks have materially outperformed the broader indexes over the last 12 months as the underlying commodity environment remains supportive and should allow balance sheets to de-lever.

3. Buy Inox Wind Ltd at Rs.169.30-170, T: Rs.210, SL: Rs.162. In a roughly INR-10-billion (USD 149m/EUR 141m) deal Leap Green Energy Pvt Ltd is to acquire the downstream wind power business of India's Inox Group, the Economic Times (ET) said, citing informed sources. An announcement of the acquisition agreement is coming, the sources have said.
India-based Leap Green, majority-owned by JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), has about 450 MW of wind power capacity, while Inox Renewables is an independent power producer (IPP) with nearly 300 MW of wind farms in Rajasthan and Maharashtra, according to the report.



Buy Inox Wind; target of Rs 298: HDFC Securities. HDFC Securities' research report on Inox Wind

Inox Wind (IWL) reported yet another weak quarter as execution got impacted due to demonetisation. 200MW of WTGs were manufactured but could not be commissioned, which led to miss in estimates for the quarter. With improvement in execution, the mgmt expects 4QFY17E to be a disproportionately strong quarter.

Outlook
Our estimates factor in flattish volumes of 3.5GW/1GW for the industry/IWL. Still IWL would generate annual FCF of 5bn going ahead. Given a history of volatile quarterly performance we cut our target P/E multiple to 12x (earlier 15x) to arrive at Dec-18 TP of Rs 298/sh. Reiterate BUY.

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Today's Calls

1. Buy the shares of Tata Motors Ltd (India’s largest truck and bus maker), at Rs.467-468, T: Rs.487-491, SL: Rs.462.
Tata Motors' total sales in February grew by 2 percent year-on-year, backed by passenger vehicle sales, though commercial vehicle segment degrew 1 percent. The company sold 47,573 vehicles in February against 46,674 vehicles sold in year-ago month.
Many brokerage houses are BULLISH on the scrip -- Motilal Oswal has given a medium term target of Rs.653, while Credit Suisse has maintained outperform rating on Tata Motors after arm Jaguar Land Rover launched its fourth model the Range Rover brand called Velar News. 

2. Those who are holding the shares of Reliance Power Ltd (Rs.48.15), can continue to hold with a SL of Rs.46.60, for 2nd target of Rs.51

3. Buy the shares of Reliance Capital Ltd at Rs.543-544, T: Rs.560-572, SL: Rs.536. Reliance Capital Ltd, has sold its nearly 1% stake in popular digital payments firm Paytm for Rs.275 crore to China's Alibaba Group in a deal reaping huge gains for the Anil Ambani-led group firm.
The financial services arm of Reliance Group had invested Rs 10 crore for this stake in Paytm.

Todays Calls

1. Buy UCO Bank at Rs.37.45, T: Rs.39-41. In a significant development, lower provisions has

helped Uco Bank to cut losses by a third to Rs.437 crore for the December quarter, compared with Rs.1497 crore loss in the year ago period. Banks are a proxy to any economy, therefore after demonetisation fiasco, as the economy gathers steam, Banks are set to do well.

2. The share of Reliance Power has achieved my 1st target of Rs.47 (Rs.47.70, intra day high) , you can book some profits and hold the rest with a SL of Rs.46.40, for the next target of Rs.51.

3. As the RJio's Free service comes to a halt, we can look forward for higher targets for Reliance Communications Ltd (Rs.38.25). After demonetisation fiasco, the economy has started to.pick up, and the retail sector is slated to do exceptionally well.

4. Those who are holding my recommended SBI (Rs.272.30), from Rs.160-162, can continue to hold with aSL at Rs.246. However long term investors need not put a SL as the worst seems to be over for the banking sector. The stock of SBI is likely to cross Rs.300 soon.

5. Considering the recently published India's GDP data as fudged, even a 5% growth during Q3FY17 should be good; on those harsh situations. Now, that the banks are flush with funds, we could look forward for good GDP growth, provided the  Narendra Modi's government does not manufacture another demonetisation like self goals.
Bank results in the December quarter are significant as they have just come out of demonetisation and are just a quarter away from recognizing bad loans under RBI’s AQR.

Today's Calls

1. Buy IDFC Bank Ltd at Rs.62.35, T: Rs.68 -72, SL: Rs.61.40. In a significant development, The promoters holding in the company stood at 52.92 % while Institutions and Non-Institutions held 34.45 % and 12.63 % respectively. The stock is trading above its 50D and 200D SMAs. It's 200D EMA is placed at Rs.60.97.

Photo: Trustworthy No.1 

The private lender IDFC Bank, picked up a 5% stake in financial services major IIFL Holdings for over Rs.502 crore through an open market transaction, at the beginning  of this month. On that day the stock of IFL Holdings closed at Rs.322.90 in the BSE. Today it is quoting at Rs.384, adding value to the shareholders' wealth. Also, IDFC Bank will replace BOI in Bank Nifty from March 31, 2017. All these developments bode well for the shares of IDFC Bank Ltd. 

2. Those who are holding the shares of RCOM at (Rs.37) can continue to hold the same, with addition on every decline. Once the mergers get completed, the stock is likely to give huge returns to the patient investors.

3. The domestic markets are trading with caution ahead of the release of GDP data for Oct - Dec period -- the shares of telecom and public sector oil companies will be in focus; apart from Bank Nifty.

4. Buy Hindustan Oil Exploration Ltd at Rs.75.30,  T: Rs.78-82, - 86, SL: Rs.72.60. Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Ltd. engages into field of oil and gas exploration. Incorporated in the year 1983, Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Ltd. is based in Vadodara.

Hindustan Oil Exploration Company (HOEC), which won rights to develop two already discovered, marginal fields in a recent government auction, says it sees early monetisation of the one in Arunachal Pradesh.

The Kherem field in Arunachal Pradesh lies about 60 km from HOEC’s Dirok field, which is expected to start producing gas next month. Kherem is a small field with 3 million barrels of oil — that can produce 200 barrels a day to start with — and 17 billion cubic feet of gas. Twinning Kherem with Dirok will neither be difficult nor expensive, P Elango, Managing Director, HOEC, told BusinessLine. The 16.45 sq km Kherem field, discovered by Oil India Ltd (OIL) in 1994, has a couple of exploratory wells doing down.

Today's Calls

1. Buy Reliance Power at Rs.45.80,T:  Rs.49-51, SL: Rs.45. Reliance Power Ltd's net profit in

the December quarter rose 14.4% as its plants performed better.

The Anil Ambani-led power producer reported a consolidated net profit of Rs.275.70 crore, against Rs.241.06 crore a year ago. Net sales rose 14.2% to Rs.2,456.31 crore in the quarter from Rs.2,150.49 crore a year earlier. Moreover, the future of other power companies such as Torrent Power (Rs.205.30) and Adani Power (Rs.37.55) also looks bright; though the share price of these two power companies at their CMPs looks fairly valued -- therefore the best bet at this point of time is invariably Reliance Power Ltd.

2. Those who are holding Punj Lloyd Ltd (Rs.21.60), can continue to hold with a SL at Rs.20.50. The construction and power stocks will be a major beneficiary, as the economy picks up steam, post demonetisation.

3. Those who are holding 63 Moons Technologies Ltd (Financial Technology) from Rd.81.70 can average the scrip, but should keep a SL of Rs.76, for any short term.trade. CMP: Rs

81.50.

4. Those who are holding the shares of Reliance Communicatioms Ltd ((Rs.37.10), can continue to hold the same and add in all declines. This stock will make millionaires out of patient investors.

5. Buy Kolte Patil Developers Ltd at Rs.101.50, T: Rs.115. SL: Rs.96. According to.the analysts the company is likely to gain from the Budget proposal, to accord infrastructure status to affordable housing.
Pune-based realty developerKolte-Patil Developers has reported 30% on-year rise in net profit at Rs 18 crore for the quarter ended December. Revenue for the quarter rose 27% to Rs 226.4 crore, the company said in its earnings release. 
During the quarter, the company reported new sales bookings of 0.32 million sq ft against 0.52 million sq ft a year ago and 0.57 million sq ft in the previous quarter. The value of area sold during the quarter stood at Rs 195 crore as against Rs 304 crore a year ago and Rs 329 crore in the preceding quarter.