Friday, May 02, 2008

Winning Strokes:
My Morning Call on Acrysil Ltd (BSE Code-->524091) and BNK Capital Markets Ltd saw them hit the buyer freeze in the early trade. But why is the sudden optimism in BNK Capital Markets Ltd.....Is it an Indirect Play on some counters!!?? Hahaha...Keep Guessing!!! Tech Mahindra Ltd crossed an important resistance levels today. The scrip was recommended to the Paid Members around Rs.902--Rs.4 range. The scrip is all set to move up to Rs.1100 in the next few trading sessions: Kamanwala Housing Construction Ltd, hit its 3rd consecutive buyer freeze, the Paid members were asked to enter the scrip a couple of days back: K Sera Sera Productions Ltd does it in style today also, the stock closed up almost 3%: Relaxo Footwear Ltd jumped up 5.62% today, the stock is now all set to cross Rs.50 mark: There are some news coming in DMC International Ltd. The company has recently gone for some acquisitions (Konichiva Builders, Swen Realty & Media Ltd etc). It is worth noting that Swen Realty & Media Ltd (a company in the process of merger with the company) entered into an agreement with Traditional Karate Federation of India (TKFI), a national governing body of Karate in India, to solely market, manage and execute "2008 Euro Karate Championship" which was held on April 26 and 27, 2008 in Delhi. Sixteen countries, eight each from Europe and Asia participated in the event, which includes "International Workshop on Martial Art for Better Management". The revenue from both the events are expected to be around Rs 10 crore by way of sponsorship fees, workshop participation fees etc. This could give positive triggers to the company. Besides there are also some encouraging news on Jatropha front: Moreover, my earlier recommended Gandhi Special Tubes Ltd, BF Utilities Ltd, Radhe Developers Ltd, Associated Alcohol and Breweries Ltd, Kanishk Steel Ltd, SAAG RR Infra Ltd etc. did well today: Keep accumulating Ennore Coke Ltd on all declines due to some positive news happening on the counter:
The market surged in late trade to end close to the day’s high. It held firm despite the latest data showing a rise in inflation to highest level in more than three years. Firm global markets supported domestic bourses. The market had pared gains in mid-morning trade after a strong start ahead of the inflation data. It had surged in early trade on positive cues from global equities. Gains in banking, realty, IT, capital goods, and auto stocks powered today's rally on the bourses. Except BSE Metal index all the sectoral indices on BSE were trading in green. Metal stocks declined as global base metal prices retreated. The market breadth was positive. European markets which opened after Indian market, were strong. Asian markets which opened before Indian market, were firm. US stocks rose on Thursday, 1 May 2008, as a rebound in the dollar and retreating oil prices calmed fears about inflation, renewing investors' appetite for riskier assets, including undervalued technology shares. India's wholesale price index rose 7.57% in 12 months to 19 April 2008, accelerating from the previous week's annual rise of 7.33%, government data released today showed. The rate was the highest since a reading of 7.68% on 13 November 2004. The 30-share BSE Sensex provisionally ended up 323.96 points or 1.87% at 17,611.27. Sensex was up 158.62 points at the day's low of 17,445.93 hit in mid-morning trade. Sensex hit a high of 17,621.24 in early trade, its highest level since 29 February 2008. At the day’s high, Sensex rose 333.93 points. The broader based S&P CNX Nifty was up 59.5 points or 1.15% at 5,225.40. The BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 6549 crore today compared to a turnover of Rs 6909.57 crore on Wednesday, 30 April 2008. The market was closed on Thursday, 1 May 2008, for a public holiday. The market breadth was positive with 1,393 shares advancing as compared to 1306 that declined on BSE. 74 remained unchanged. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.36% to 7,236.14 and BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.47% to 8,814.64. India’s largest private sector firm by market capitalisation and oil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 2.49% to Rs 2,680.05 after the company said it had signed an agreement to buy a 90% stake in an exploration block in Peru. Banking stocks rose across the board despite surge in inflation. HDFC Bank (up rose 1.33% to Rs 1,535), ICICI Bank (up 6.55% to Rs 937), edged higher. India’s largest commercial bank State Bank of India rose 2.86% to Rs 1,827.10. The bank today reported 26% rise in net profit to Rs 1883 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007. The results hit the market at the fag end of the trading session. Bank of India rose 5.36% to Rs 361 after it posted 70% rise in net profit to Rs 757 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007. Finance Minister (FM) P Chidambaram on Thursday, 1 May 2008, said state-run banks are unlikely to hike interest rates in the near future. FM said banks were quite happy that only the CRR (cash reserve ratio) has been raised by the Reserve Bank of India and policy rates have been untouched. RBI on Tuesday, 29 April 2008, hike CRR by 25 basis points to 8.25% in its annual monetary policy review. Auto stock rose on strong monthly sales. India’s largest car maker by sales Maruti Suzuki India rose 6.6% to Rs 790.90. Maruti Suzuki India has recorded a 22.4% growth in domestic sales in April 2008 compared with April 2007. The company's exports grew 64.5% during the month compared with the year-ago period. In April Maruti Suzuki sold 59,539 units in the domestic market compared with 48,652 units in April 2007. Bajaj Holdings rose 3.38% to Rs 733.15. Erstwhile Bajaj Auto reported a 23.60% growth in motorcycle sales during April 2008 at 2,03,081 units against 1,64,304 units in the same month last year. The company's total two-wheeler sales also rose 23.08% during the month at 2,03,930 units as compared to 1,65,692 units in April last year. India’s largest motorbike maker by sales Hero Honda Motors declined 0.79% to Rs 844. Hero Honda Motors reported a 9.03% jump in motorcycle sales during April 2008 at 2,86,252 units against 2,62,544 units in the same month last year. India’s largest tractor maker by sales Mahindra & Mahindra rose 2.95% to Rs 690.15 on reports the company is exploring buying stake in Pune-based two-wheeler maker Kinetic Motor. India’s largest truck maker by sales Tata Motors rose 3.68% to Rs 685.05. Realty stocks rose. Housing Development and Infrastructure (up 10.8% to Rs 855.35), Indiabulls Real Estate (up 3.51% to Rs 567) and Unitech (up 3.03% to Rs 319.80) edged higher. India’s largest real estate player by market capitalisation DLF rose 2.11% to Rs 720.15. DLF reported a net profit of Rs 638.55 crore on a sales of Rs 1613.32 crore in Q4 March 2008. Capital goods stocks rose. Larsen & Toubro (up 4.58% to Rs 3,141.05), Bharat Heavy Electricals (up 0.65% to Rs 1,909.25), Suzlon Energy (up 0.63% to Rs 288.95) edged higher. IT stocks rose. Wipro (up 2.78% to Rs 502.20), Tata Consultancy Services (up 2.31% to Rs 940.75), Satyam Computer services (up 2.47% to Rs 494.10) and Infosys (up 2.04% t o Rs 1,789.50) edged higher. Metal stocks declined as global base metal prices retreated. Sterlite Industries (down 4.24% to Rs 825.60), Hindalco Industries (down 4% to Rs 185.85) and Tata Steel (down 2.52% to Rs 797) National aluminium Company (down 2.42% to Rs 438.40) and Steel Authority of India (down 1% to Rs 183.20) edged lower. Jaiprakash Associates (up 5.77% to Rs 286.95), ONGC (up 0.56% to Rs 1,039.20), ITC (up 0.43% to Rs 220.75) edged higher from Sensex pack. HDFC (down 1.11% to Rs 2,773.75), ACC (down 0.67% to Rs 753.55), Ambuja Cement (down 0.88% to Rs 112.90) edged lower from Sensex pack. India’s largest telecom services provider by sales Reliance Communications declined 3.2% to Rs 561.20. Reliance Communications is reportedly looking to bid for South African telecom major MTN. Reliance Communications is talking to leading global banks to raise resources and be ready, in case MTN's management decides to invite bids, the reports added. Indian Bank rose 2.23% to Rs 142.15. It has signed an agreement with Reliance Capital Asset Management to act as a corporate agent to sell the mutual fund products of Reliance Mutual Fund. Adani Enterprises rose 2.7% to Rs 868. The company's subsidiary, Adani Power, has filed a draft red herring form (DRHF) on 2 May 2008 with the Securities & Exchange Board of India for offering 29.69 crore equity shares (including employee reservation) to the public on 100% book building basis. The Dow Jones industrial average shot up 189.87 points, or 1.48 percent, to 13,010 on Thursday, 1 May 2008. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index surged 23.75 points, or 1.71 percent, to 1,409.34. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 67.91 points, or 2.81 percent, to 2,480.71. All these three major indexes closed at the highest level since the first half of January 2008 as equities extended a rally started in mid-March 2008 on optimism that credit markets and the economy have begun to stabilize. European markets opened strong. France’s CAC 40, Germany’s DAX and UK’s FTSE 100 were up by between 1.02% to 1.19%. In Asia, key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan were up by between 0.49% to 2.53%. China's markets remained shut for its two-day Labour Day holiday and will resume trading on Monday, 5 May 2008. Earlier, the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday, 30 April 2008, cut Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points to 2% and hinted at a pause in its recent campaign to lower borrowing costs. Inflation remains the biggest concern for the Indian stock market. The measures taken by the Union government to control inflation have also added to uncertainty on corporate profit. Finance Minister P Chidambaram on Tuesday, 29 April 2008, said government will impose export tax on basmati rice and some steel products, and cut import duties on key inputs like ferro alloys and metallurgical coke. He said the measures were being taken to improve domestic supplies and to moderate prices. The government has already banned export of cement and non-basmati rice. Given that parliamentary elections are scheduled next year (in May 2009), the government may leave no stone unturned in its attempt to rein in inflation. This is bad news for commodity scrips like cement, steel etc. In a bid to rein in inflation, the Reserve Bank of India, on Tuesday, 29 April 2008, raised cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 25 basis points to 8.25%, to suck out excess liquidity in the banking system, in its annual monetary policy review. While the central bank has mentioned price stability as its key priority, the overall undertone of the policy is not as hawkish as market had feared. That in turn boosted the bourses with Sensex jumping 362.50 points or 2.13% on that day (29 April 2008) to settle at 17,378.46. The RBI governor Y V Reddy expects inflation to moderate in the next 2-3 months. Good Q4 results March 2008 results and firm global markets, triggered a solid rebound in the Indian market over the past few days. Buying by domestic institutions has supported the market. The structural growth drivers of the Indian economy remain intact – India’s economy is expected to witness a decent-to-strong growth for a long period of time due to favourable demographics. Acceleration in infrastructure creation will be another driver of strong growth in India’s economy. Rating agency CRISIL in its latest outlook for Indian economy for the year through March 2009 has stated that the overall growth scenario is expected to remain strong with investment as the main driver. Another pointer to the fact that the long term India growth story remains intact is the outcome of the latest 2008 US-India Business Council (USIBC) survey, according to which, India is, and will continue to be, a premier destination for investment by US firms, with a large number of respondents rating future economic growth in India as highly sustainable.

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