Showing posts sorted by date for query mcx. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query mcx. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Friday, August 23, 2013

WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
Please Click on the Chart to Expand
MCX Ltd hits the buyer freeze in the opening trade. Those who have taken risk yesterday, must be happy. But, safe investors, should be very careful playing these kinds of counters. Today, the stock got locked in the UC, at Rs.293.05 in the  NSE.
Manappuram Finance Ltd recommended yesterday at Rs.14.80-15, today broke out its long term chart pattern and is moving towards the next intermediate target of Rs.17.50-17.70, before touching Rs.21, in the next few trading sessions. With import restrictions on, the price of Gold is not expected to come down very quickly. In such a scenario, the companies like Manappurram Finance Ltd is expected do well. The scrip today closed at Rs.15.30. CLICK HERE & CLICK HERE.
B F Utilities Ltd confirmed the break-out today, in the daily charts. It seems on Monday it will open a gap up and try to move towards the next target of Rs.145-147, and then subsequently cross Rs.200, in the next few trading sessions. Buoyancy in the wind power sector and the government's thrust in the infrastructure, is positive for the company. Moreover, the new government in Karanataka could also, help solve some of its pending matters. 

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Market Mantra
Gitanjali Gems Ltd hits another buyer Freeze in the opening trade. The scrip is locked at the upper circuits at Rs.80.90 in the BSE. The scrip was asked to be accumulated couple of days back at around Rs.73.40. 
A Nifty_Future buy was given at 5430, which gave some returns to the traders as it touched 5450, after the call. Also, yesterday's Nifty_5700 Call Option at Rs.5-5.5, today touched Rs.11.95, much above the target of Rs.9, given yesterday. To know the levels of Nifty_Futures for trading, join my recommended brokerage house and get you everything for free. Also, get support during the market hours. In these kinds of markets when it is becoming difficult even for the experts to make money, it would be dangerous to play, in the market alone; unless one  has sufficient exposure on the same and has done substantial research. Also, why should one waste time on a subject, instead of concentrating on his own job. Always try to remain focused. 
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX Ltd) recommended yesterday, at around Rs.268-269, today hit the upper freeze in the opening trade. Those who could buy yesterday, might have hit a JACKPOT, as the stock is expected to give substantial returns from here. Meanwhile, MCX BNP Paribas Arbitrage has acquired 566,000 shares of the company at an estimated cost of Rs.145 million (Rs.14.5 Cr). CLICK HERE.

Friday, August 16, 2013

Bloodbath on Dalal Street: Top 34 stocks that hit 52-week low on BSE-500 index
[Editor: Now all those who were supporting RBI's FAULTY policy on Inflation Control, should be publicly WHIPPED, for at least 2 months in a row, with 50 lashes per day. And what about all those groups of PERVERTED ECONOMISTS, who appear on various channels everyday, to spread POISON among the Indian masses? 
Also, why only blame, Dr.Subbarao for the mess? What about the blue eyed behind the scene villains like, Dr.Subir Gokarn (did maximum damage) and his replacement Dr.P Patel? What about jokers like, Dr.Rangarajan and Dr.K C Chakraborty...? During the last 6 months how many times did we see reputed economists/persons like Dr.Surjit Bhalla, Dr.Kaushik Basu, Dr.Omkar Goswami, Dr.Bimal Jalan, Dr.Acharya, etc on various Television Channels? What about Dr.Manmohan Singh and his deputies? If a RBI team was not performing upto the mark, was it not necessary to remove them, with more competent ones?
Bottomline is that: if you give garbage so importance, then don't except gold from them] 
NEW DELHI: The S&P BSE Sensex fell over 800 points in intraday trade on Friday, while 50-share Nifty index suffered its biggest percentage drop since July 2009. 

The fall was led by sharp selling in frontline stocks on fears of U.S. stimulus tapering which could start as soon as next month may FII flows and capital control measure adopted by the Reserve bank of India also fuelled bearish sentiment. 

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced certain measures late on Wednesday to restrict how much its citizens and companies can invest abroad. This raised fears of outright capital controls that would further undermine the confidence of foreign investors. 

Tracking the momentum that hit 52-week low include stocks like Yes Bank, Bank of India, BHELBSE -10.70 %, L&T, MCX, Punjab National BankBSE -7.00 %, SpiceJet and UCO Bank. 

The Nifty witnessed intense selling pressure and briefly breached 5,500 level in intraday trade as institutional investors booked profits in Indian companies on economic growth, rising interest rate concerns and depreciating rupee. 

Weakness in rupee has been a major drag on markets, hitting fresh record low of 62.03 against the US dollar in intraday trade. 

The 50-share index closed at 5,507.85, down 234.45 points or 4.08 per cent. It touched a high of 5,716.60 and a low of 5,496.05 in trade today. 

The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 18,598.18, down 769.41 points or 3.97 per cent. It touched a high of 19,310.95 and a low of 18,559.65 in trade today. 

Levels of 5500 on the Nifty which is still considered a strong support for the Nifty index may come under threat if rupee continues to depreciate against the dollar, say analysts. 

"The view is very clear that level of 5500 still hold a strong support for the Nifty. In past we have seen many times, markets bouncing back from this level; however the intensity of the bounce is getting lower and lower," said Ashwani Gujral of ashwanigujral.com. 

"There is a tectonic shift that is happening in the markets because of the weakness in rupee. Chances are rupee should head lower towards 64 and that should lead to a breaking of this 5500 to 6100 zone on the downside," he added. 

Gujral is of the view that the more the government/RBI try's to fight the rupee, chances are it will go lower and lower. So this is a fairly difficult situation and chances are that 5500 may not hold for a long time, he added. 

Although, Nifty briefly breached this level in intraday trade today and market is not able to hold onto 5500 level - next target is closer to 5400 and then 5300, say analysts. 

"There is a possibility that markets may crack down to 5300 on the Nifty; yes that is very much possible if the momentum continues," said Dilip Bhat, Joint Managing Director, Prabhudas Lilladher in an interview with ET Now. 

"We may see a sharp rise once again back to 5900 to 6000, yes very much possible and both the scenarios possibly can play out over next three to six months," he added. 

Bhat is of the view that the fear psychosis which is making the markets vulnerable and panicky. Government has imposed some kind of partial control on remittances. 

Foreign institutional investors have been crucial part of the rally in 2012 but in the year 2013, the flows are reversed fuelling bearish sentiment in the market. 

Monday, April 29, 2013

Gold seen extending gains from two-week high
(Reuters) - Gold futures in India, which hit the highest level in two weeks on Friday, could extend gains on a weak dollar ahead of further monetary easing in the United States.

Weak U.S. growth data has raised expectations the Federal Reserve will keep its bond buying at $85 billion a month, while the European Central Bank is widely expected to announce an interest rate cut when it meets on Thursday.

Accommodative policy is supportive for gold as printing of money tends to be inflationary.

"Overall gold will remain on the upside on loose monetary policy stance by the U.S.," said Sumit Mukherjee, an analyst at Karvy Comtrade.

The actively traded gold for June delivery was 0.17 percent lower at 27,144 rupees per 10 gram on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), after hitting a high of 27,447 rupees on Friday, a level seen on April 15.

Gold may trade in a range of 26,300-27,800 rupees, said Mukherjee.

However, lower physical demand from India after the buying frenzy following a 20 percent drop in prices from the peak, could limit the upside in prices. India will celebrate Akshaya Tritiya next month, while weddings will continue till June-July.

Silver for May delivery was 0.17 percent higher at 45,118 rupees per kg on the MCX.

Silver may trade in a range of 43,400-48,000, said Mukherjee.


(Reporting by Siddesh Mayenkar; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

Courtesy: Reutes

Friday, April 26, 2013

Gold prices maintained an upward trend
Those who bought the shares of Manappuram Finance Ltd (BSE Code: 531213, CMP: Rs.17.70) with me, say Cheers!!
Gold prices maintained an upward trend for the fifth-straight day by adding Rs 400 to regain the psychological level of Rs 28,000 per ten grams in the national capital Thursday on strong demand from stockists and traders coupled with marriage season off-take from consumers amid a firming global trend.

Silver also recovered by Rs 500 to Rs 45,500 per kg on increased offtake by industrial units and coin makers.

Meanwhile, gold prices continued their upward momentum in futures trade today and rallied by over Rs 650 points to regain Rs 27,000-level as speculators enlarged their positions tracking a firm global trend.

Silver also regained Rs 45,000-level in futures trade.

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), metal for delivery in June contracts climbed by Rs 653 to Rs 27,041 per ten grams.

Similarly, silver for delivery in May contracts rallied by Rs 2,282 to Rs 45,174 per Kg.

In another benchmark spot market, Mumbai, gold reclaimed Rs 27,000 per ten grams level on continued physical buying.

Silver also soared on low-level speculative buying and industrial demand, and regained the Rs 45,000 per kg mark.

Gold in overseas markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front, climbed to the highest level since September last year, as rising central bank and physical purchases countered tumbling assets in exchange-traded products.

Spot gold surged by USD 34.60 or 2.42 percent to USD 1,467.10 per ounce.

Gold prices sank to around USD 1,321 on April 16, the lowest in more than two years, in a sell-off that surprised ardent gold investors and bulls.

Mumbai

Standard gold of 99.5 percent purity shot up by Rs 400 to end at Rs 26,970 per 10 grams from Wednesday's closing level of Rs 26,570.

Pure gold of 99.9 percent purity also surged by a similar margin to finish at Rs 27,110 per 10 grams from Rs 26,710.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) vaulted by Rs 715 to close at Rs 45,315 per kg from Rs 44,600 yesterday.

Chennai

Standard gold price moved higher by Rs 445 to Rs 27,495 per ten grams as against its previous close of Rs 27,050.

Silver also rallied by Rs 745 to Rs 44,795 from Rs 44,050 per kg.

Delhi

In the national capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 percent purity advanced by Rs 400 each to Rs 28,000 and Rs 27,800 per 10 grams, respectively. The yellow metal had gained Rs 1,250 in the previous four sessions.

Sovereign followed suit and climbed Rs 250 to Rs 24,350 per piece of eight gram.

In line with a general firm trend, silver ready recovered by Rs 500 to Rs 45,500 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 660 to Rs 43,310 per kg. The white metal had lost Rs 800 on Tuesday's trade.

Silver coins also spurted by Rs 1,000 to Rs 76,000 for buying and Rs 77,000 for selling of 100 pieces.

Futures Trade (MCX)

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), metal for delivery in June contracts climbed by Rs 653 to Rs 27,041 per ten grams.

Similarly, silver for delivery in May contracts rallied by Rs 2,282 to Rs 45,174 per Kg.

International markets

Gold in overseas markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front, surged by USD 34.60 or 2.42 percent to USD 1,467.10 per ounce.

In international markets gold prices sank to around USD 1,321 on April 16, the lowest in more than two years, in a sell-off that surprised ardent gold investors and bulls.

Gold ETF

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.38 percent to 1092.98 tonnes on Wednesday from 1097.19 tonnes on Tuesday. The current holdings are at multi-year low.

Here are the city wise gold and silver rates:

(Gold rates per 10 gm/Silver rates per Kg)

Mumbai
GOLD: Rs 27,110 (+400)/ SILVER: Rs 45,315 (+715)

Delhi
GOLD: Rs 28,000 (+400), SILVER: Rs 45,500 (+500)

Chennai
GOLD: 27,495 (+445)/ SILVER: Rs 44,945 (+745)

Kolkata
GOLD: 28,600 (+170)/ SILVER: Rs 46,550 (+500)

Bangalore
GOLD: Rs 27,563 (+472) / SILVER: Rs 45,700 (unchanged)

Hyderabad
GOLD: Rs 28,000 (-1000) / SILVER: 48,000 (-1000)

Courtesy: Zee News

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Gold Rate Today: Latest Updates
Best Time To Invest In Gold 
or In Gold Loan Companies...?
Recovering from their yesterday's loss, gold prices in futures trade moved higher by Rs.250 Wednesday, tracking uptrend in international markets as solid physical demand encouraged speculative buying.

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), metal for delivery in June contracts rose by Rs 250 to trade higher at Rs 26,414 per ten grams.

Similarly, Silver for delivery in May contracts increased by Rs 421 to Rs 43,235 per Kg.

Gold prices fell by up to Rs 60 at the Mumbai bullion market today following reduced demand from traders and jewellers. Silver also fell by Rs 550 to Rs 44,600 per kg.

Standard gold of 99.5 percent purity and pure gold of 99.9 percent purity both traded down by Rs 60 and Rs 55 at Rs 26,570 and Rs 26,710 per ten grams, respectively.

Speculative buying after yesterday's fall pushed gold price in international markets higher by 0.86 percent on Wednesday.

Support also came from weak German economic data, which fanned speculation the European Central Bank could cut interest rates.

But strong US dollar coupled with firming equities and continuous decline in holdings by exchange-traded funds looks set to cap prices.

Gold in overseas markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front, rebounded by USD 15.90 or 1.12 percent to USD 1,429.50 per ounce.

In international markets gold prices sank to around USD 1,321 on April 16, the lowest in more than two years, in a sell-off that surprised ardent gold investors and bulls.

Delhi

In the national capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 percent purity advanced by Rs 200 each to Rs 27,600 and Rs 27,400 per 10 grams, respectively. It had gained Rs 1,050 in last three sessions.

Sovereign, however, held steady at Rs 24,100 per piece of eight gram in scattered deals.

On the other hand, silver ready dropped by Rs 800 to Rs 45,000 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 1020 per kg. The white metal had gained Rs 500 yesterday.

Silver coins also plunged by Rs 1,000 to Rs 75,000 for buying and Rs 76,000 for selling of 100 pieces.

Mumbai

Standard gold of 99.5 percent purity and pure gold of 99.9 percent purity both traded down by Rs 60 and Rs 55 at Rs 26,570 and Rs 26,710 per ten grams, respectively.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) declined by Rs 550 to Rs 44.600 per kg from Tuesday''s closing level of Rs 45,150.

Chennai

Standard gold price moved higher by Rs 90 to Rs 27,050 per ten grams as against its previous close of Rs 26,960. Silver however, slipped by Rs 800 to Rs 44,050 from Rs 44,850 per kg.

Futures Trade (MCX)

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), metal for delivery in June contracts rose by Rs 250 to trade higher at Rs 26,414 per ten grams.

Similarly, Silver for delivery in May contracts increased by Rs 421 to Rs 43,235 per Kg.

International markets

Gold in overseas markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front, rebounded by USD 15.90 or 1.12 percent to USD 1,429.50 per ounce.

In international markets gold prices sank to around USD 1,321 on April 16, the lowest in more than two years, in a sell-off that surprised ardent gold investors and bulls.

Gold ETF

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.68 percent to 1,097.19 tonnes on Tuesday from 1,104.71 tonnes on Monday. The current holdings are at multi-year low.

Here are the city wise gold and silver rates:

(Gold rates per 10 gm/Silver rates per Kg)

Mumbai
GOLD: Rs 26,710 (-55)/ SILVER: Rs 44,600 (-550)

Delhi
GOLD: Rs 27,600 (+200), SILVER: Rs 45,000 (-800)

Chennai
GOLD: 27,125 (+90)/ SILVER: Rs 44,050 (-800)

Kolkata
GOLD: 28,150 (+300)/ SILVER: Rs 45,500 (-750)

Bangalore
GOLD: Rs 27,098 (+213) / SILVER: Rs 45,600 (-200)

Ahmedabad
GOLD: Rs 26,270 / SILVER: 44,200

Hyderabad
GOLD: Rs 27,800 (unchanged) / SILVER: 49,000 (+150)

With Agency Inputs 

Courtesy: Zee News

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Gold Prices Maintains An Upward Trend For The Fourth-Straight Day
Gold prices maintained an upward trend for the fourth-straight day by adding Rs 200 to Rs 27,600 per 10 grams in the national capital Tuesday on sustained buying by stockists and retailers.

Gold prices in futures trade however, failed to maintain their winning streak and fell by up to Rs 200 per ten grams amid down trend in international markets as more outflows from gold exchange-traded funds summed up investors' weakening confidence in the metal.

At Delhi spot market, Silver lacked necessary follow up support and dropped by Rs 800 to Rs 45,000 per kg.

Gold in overseas markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front, moved lower by USD 14.30 or 1 percent to USD 1,412 per ounce.

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), metal for delivery in June contracts fell by Rs 245 to trade lower at Rs 26,112 per ten grams after moving in range of Rs 26,062-26,448.

Similarly, Silver for delivery in May contracts dropped by Rs 947 to Rs 42,740 per Kg after moving in range of Rs 42,338-43,484.

Delhi

In the national capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 percent purity advanced by Rs 200 each to Rs 27,600 and Rs 27,400 per 10 grams, respectively. It had gained Rs 1,050 in last three sessions.

Sovereign, however, held steady at Rs 24,100 per piece of eight gram in scattered deals.

On the other hand, silver ready dropped by Rs 800 to Rs 45,000 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 1020 per kg. The white metal had gained Rs 500 yesterday.

Silver coins also plunged by Rs 1,000 to Rs 75,000 for buying and Rs 76,000 for selling of 100 pieces.

Mumbai

Standard gold of 99.5 percent purity and pure gold of 99.9 percent purity both settled down by Rs 70 and Rs 75 at Rs 26,630 and Rs 26,765 per 10 gm, respectively.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) fell by Rs 1,030 to Rs 45,150 per kg from Monday's closing level of Rs 44,955.

Chennai

Standard gold price moved higher by Rs 90 to Rs 27,050 per ten grams as against its previous close of Rs 26,960. Silver however, slipped by Rs 800 to Rs 44,050 from Rs 44,850 per kg.

Futures Trade (MCX)

At the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), yellow metal for delivery in June contracts fell by Rs 245 to trade lower at Rs 26,112 per ten grams after moving in range of Rs 26,062-26,448.

Similarly, Silver for delivery in May contracts dropped by Rs 947 to Rs 42,740 per Kg after moving in range of Rs 42,338-43,484.

International markets

Spot gold moved lower by USD 14.30 or 1 percent to USD 1,412 per ounce. Gold in overseas markets had touched its lowest level in more than two years of USD 1,321.35 on last Tuesday.

Gold ETF

Holdings on SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, tumbled to their lowest level since early 2010, which indicated that some investors were shifting their money into equities.

Here are the city wise gold and silver rates:

(Gold rates per 10 gm/Silver rates per Kg)

Mumbai
GOLD: Rs 26,765 (-75)/ SILVER: Rs 45,150 (-1030)

Delhi
GOLD: Rs 27,600 (+200), SILVER: Rs 45,000 (-800)

Chennai
GOLD: 27,125 (+90)/ SILVER: Rs 44,050 (-800)

Kolkata
GOLD: 28,150 (+300)/ SILVER: Rs 45,500 (-750)

Bangalore
GOLD: Rs 27,098 (+213) / SILVER: Rs 45,600 (-200)

Ahmedabad
GOLD: Rs 26,270 / SILVER: 44,200

Hyderabad
GOLD: Rs 27,800 (unchanged) / SILVER: 49,000 (+150)


Courtesy: Zee News with Agency Inputs

Friday, June 29, 2012

WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
ARSS Infrastructure Ltd hit the upper circuits before closing at around Rs.45.95 on the BSE. Yesterday, it was strongly recommended a buy, after my sources gave positive news on the company. I am expecting the scrip to cross Rs.60, in the coming days, provided the markets do not crash. The Real Estate/Construction stocks of all hues should be accumulated as the RBI is expected to cut the interest rate in the coming days, to prop up the sagging economy. This is the sector to be focused. Also, any negative news in the cement sector is positive for the real estate/construction sector. 
The gold fell as was expected in the MCX. Those who have shorted the scrip, must be laughing their way to the banks. I am expecting it to fall further as the government takes steps to revive the sentiments of the Indian Capital Markets.  
Prajay Engineers Syndicate Ltd hit the buyer freeze today. The company is doing lot of projects and its current price does not depict the true value of the scrip. According to my estimation, the scrip should trade above Rs.30. It's 3 star-hotel has started to function and other projects are going on stream. It has huge pile of land banks, whose value is more than few thousand crores. The share price of such a company should not trade at such a dismal price. 
On the 28th June, mail to the Paid Members, it was clearly said the following, "Some volatility can be seen in market due to F&O expiry today. Ability of Bulls to sustain above the support level of 5100 is a sign of strength. Long positions can be hold on to with a stop below 4970". Those who have bought the Nifty Futures, based on this news have covered up the cost of Paid Service in just one call. Join the Paid Service or my Brokerage House (Free account opening for investments above Rs.2 lakhs) to get maximum out of this market. This market has off late become the den of highly-professional-participants  and therefore it could be dangerous to try your hands in the stocks without proper expert advice or guidance or research.  
Kohinoor Broadcasting Corporation Ltd hit the buyer freeze as it touched Re.0.66. I think most of you have increased your holdings in the last few months, as this could be one of the golden opportunities (or life-time opportunity) to accumulate the scrip at such a low price. The company is going stronger and stronger day by day. The promoters are now making plans to launch the 2nd channel, KBC Gold at the earliest. Its solar (Renewable) energy projects are also going fine. It is in the final stage of tying up with some companies in this respect.  
The following calls were given to the Paid Group members on 28th June, 2012. 
(i) Buy Tata Steel at Rs.417--418, T--Rs.430, SL--Rs.410
(ii) Buy IDFC Ltd at Rs.134, T--Rs.139, SL--Rs.130. 
Today Tata Steel Ltd touched Rs.443.90 way above the target and IDFC Ltd touched Rs.136.85 today, intra-day (almost near the 1st target).  
The excerpts of that forwarded mail is still there in the free group (SumanSpeaks) at:
http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/SumanSpeaks/message/16815

Thursday, June 28, 2012

SELL GOLD AND NOBLE METALS
I think Gold is a sell from now onward. The gold is now trading at Rs.29706, in MCX, but I am expecting it to further break Rs.28, 000 mark in the coming days. The reasons could be many but primary among them could be the following:
(i) The world-wide inflation is expected to come down in the coming days, pulling down the demand for gold. 
(ii) The government is talking of improving the sentiment of the Indian Capital Markets, which could be looked in  a round about way to curtail the demand for gold. This means the gold demand as an investment could come down in the coming days. 
(iii) According to view of India Forex Advisors, “ Gold is trading at $ 1575 levels. Gold prices ended on a flat note ahead of the EU Summit, as market participants are not expecting any new measures will be announced to tackle the ongoing European Debt crisis. This may prompt investors to shift from Gold to US Dollar. Near term support is at $1558 levels, whereas strong resistance can be seen near $1592 levels (21 day EMA on the daily chart). Gold remains bearish as expected internationally in dollar terms”.
Gold has recently lost its safe haven appeal after the financial market turmoil caused by the Eurozone crisis. Moreover, Federal Reserve's decision to take only a modest step to boost the economy forced investors to cash in bullion to cover losses.
In such a situation, please liquidate your position in Gold and invest the money in the Indian Capital Market, especially in good infrastructure counters. 

Friday, April 20, 2012

Copper rises on weak dollar, breaks out of flat trend
Easing Eurozone woes, pulls base metals higher
Ruchika Shah / Mumbai Apr 20, 2012
Three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange traded higher today, erasing the flat trend continuing for the past three days.
Local copper contract on the MCX also broke out of the three-day humdrum and was trading Rs 1.80 higher, at Rs 420.05 today. The rupee was weak against the dollar after hitting a 14-week low in the last hour of trading yesterday. This helped in pulling local copper prices higher.
Eurozone concerns eased as the region's IFO business climate data released today was better than estimated, said Priyanka Jhaveri, an analyst with Kotak Commodity Services. This strengthed the euro against the dollar, which pushed dollar-denominated commodities such as base metals higher in the global markets.
Benchmark copper contract on the LME was trading at $8,079 per tonne, up $29 from Thursday's close. The contract had been settling at $8,050 for the past three days, she said.
China, the world's largest importer and consumer of base metals, is seen re-exporting its copper stocks from the bonded warehouses at the Shanghai Futures Exchange, to ease LME backwardation.
"Backwardation, is a sign of bullishness," she says. It means that the spot market is tight with high demand and restricted supply. This hints at a bullish trend in base metals for the rest of the day.
Prices at the LME compared to spot market prices, have been lower, which is an unusual trend, Jhaveri says. But this has been the occurrence at LME where copper is going at a discount, while the red metal in the spot market is being sold at a premium.
LME 3-month copper premium, a premium for cash copper against three-month delivery on the world's biggest metal marketplace popped up to $114 per tonne on Tuesday, a level not seen since 2008.
It was going at a premium of close to $80-85 per tonne, which was now down at $44 today due to backwardation, which resulted in rising stocks at LME-monitored warehouses. This is still higher than $10-40 premium at SHFE.
However, copper, pulling the base metal complex, is expected to be bullish in the evening trading session, in the absence of any significant data release later today, Jhaveri said.
According to Kotak Commodity Services, MCX April copper contract may get support at Rs 416 and face resistance at Rs 424, while the 3-month contract is expected to find support at $8,000 and face resistance at $8,150 later today.

Monday, March 12, 2012

WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
Jai Balaji Industries Ltd hit the buyer freeze in the late afternoon trade. The reasons are best known to all. 
As expected Sintex Industries Ltd moved to Rs.86, before cooling a bit. 
Country Club India Ltd, is doing absolutely fine. According to my close sources, all the FCCB related issues will be solved by 31st March, 2012. Moreover, the company is expanding not only in India but also in overseas.
Key benchmark indices edged higher for the second day in a row as bank stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a reduction of 75 basis points in banks' cash reserve ratio (CRR) requirement to ease liquidity situation in the banking system. The 50-unit S&P CNX Nifty attained its highest closing level in more than a week and half. The barometer index, BSE Sensex, scaled its highest closing level in more than one week. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) edged higher. The Sensex advanced 84.43 points or 0.48%, up close to 90 points from the day's low and off about 185 points from the day's high.
Auto and IT stocks were mixed. Engineering and construction major L&T rose for the second day in a row after naming a new CEO and MD. GAIL (India) rose after twin bulk deals. The market breadth was positive. BSE Small-Cap and Mid-Cap indices outperformed the Sensex.
From a recent low of 17,145.52 on 7 March 2012, the BSE Sensex has gained 442.15 points or 2.57% in two trading sessions. The barometer index has lost 161.02 points or 0.9% in March 2012 so far (till 12 March 2012). The index has surged 2,132.75 points or 13.79% in calendar 2012 so far (till 12 March 2012). From a 52-week low of 15,135.86 on 20 December 2011, the Sensex has risen 2,451.81 points or 16.19%. From a 52-week high of 19,811.14 on 6 April 2011, the Sensex has lost 2,223.47 points or 11.22%.
Coming back to today's trade, the market pared gains after a firm start triggered by the Reserve Bank of India's announcement after markets hours on Friday, 9 March 2012, of a reduction in cash reserve ratio (CRR) of banks by 75 basis points to ease liquidity situation in the banking system. The market came off lows in morning trade. Key benchmark indices regained positive zone after slipping into the red in mid-morning trade. The market regained strength in afternoon trade. The market held positive zone in mid-afternoon trade.
The BSE Sensex advanced 84.43 points or 0.48% to settle at 17,587.67, its highest closing level since 3 March 2012. The index jumped 268.86 points at the day's high of 17,772.10 in opening trade, its highest level since 29 February 2012. The index fell 8.59 points at the day's low of 17,494.65 in early afternoon trade.
The S&P CNX Nifty advanced 26 points or 0.49% to 5,359.55, its highest closing level since 29 February 2012. The index hit a high of 5,421.90 and a low of 5,327.30 in intraday trade.
The BSE Mid-Cap index gained 1.06% and the BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.7%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 2339 crore, lower than Rs 3475.67 crore clocked on Friday, 9 March 2012.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive. On BSE, 1,599 shares rose and 1,246 shares fell. A total of 121 shares were unchanged.
Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 17 gained while the rest declined.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) advanced 3.02% to Rs 796.95 in volatile trade. The stock hit a high of Rs 802.80 and low of Rs 781. RIL along with BP PLC will reportedly submit a joint plan to the government to develop the D6 natural gas block and its satellite fields as an integrated unit. The proposal is significant in that it will seek approval to develop an entire block as one unit, rather than follow the current practice of getting clearance for one oil or natural gas field at a time.
In 2011, BP purchased a 30% stake in 21 RIL's oil and gas blocks across India, including D6, which is India's biggest gas discovery so far. RIL is facing declining output at D6 due to reservoir complexity, a natural decline in reserves and delays in developing satellite fields. Output at the D1, D3 and MA fields in the D6 block has plunged to about 38 million metric standard cubic meters a day (MMSCMD) from 60 MMSCMD in June 2010. It is estimated that output will fall further to 27.60 MMSCMD in the next financial year starting April, and to 22.60 MMSCMD in the year after that.
GAIL (India) rose 1.59% to Rs 354.30 on volume of 17.3 lakh shares. A bulk deal of 8 lakh shares at Rs 351.75 per share was executed in the counter on BSE in morning trade. Another bulk deal of 7 lakh shares at Rs 352 per share was also struck on the counter on the BSE.
India's largest engineering and construction major L&T advanced 3.54%, with the stock extending Friday's 5.27% gain. During market hours on Friday, 9 March 2012, the company said K. Venkataramanan will take over as the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of L&T from 1 April 2012. He will succeed A. M. Naik who will step down as Managing Director, but continue as Executive Chairman of the group, the company added. The decision was taken by the board of directors to bifurcate the position of Chairman & Managing Director.
Most bank stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a reduction of 75 basis points in banks' cash reserve ratio (CRR) requirement to ease liquidity situation in the banking system. The announcement was made after trading hours on Friday, 9 March 2012.
India's largest bank by branch network State Bank of India jumped 3.96% and was the top gainer from the Sensex pack. The bank's chairman Pratip Chaudhuri was quoted by the media as saying on Sunday, 11 March 2012, that the bank may go in for a follow-on-public-offer (FPO) or institutional placement of shares next fiscal to fund its business growth.
India's biggest private sector bank in terms of branch network, ICICI Bank gained 1.63%. India's second largest bank by net profit HDFC Bank shed 0.57%.
Interest rate sensitive auto stocks were mixed. India's largest commercial vehicles maker by sales Tata Motors gained 1.54%, with the stock extending two-day 4.96% gain.
India's largest utility vehicles maker Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) declined 1.88%. During market hours Friday, 9 March 2012, M&M said, as part of its ongoing rationalisation of finished stocks, it would be observing no production days up to 2 days per week for the remaining period of March 2012 at the company's tractor plants located at Rudrapur, Nagpur and Jaipur. The management does not envisage any material adverse impact on availability of tractors in the market due to adequacy of tractor stocks to serve the market requirements, the company said.
India's largest car maker by sales Maruti Suzuki India slipped 0.32%.
India's largest bike maker by sales Hero MotoCorp rose 0.96% on reports the company is building in-house capabilities to make its own engines by teaming up with the world's largest privately-owned engine developer AVL of Austria.
India's second largest bike maker by sales Bajaj Auto rose 2.31%.
The Budget announcement by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on 16 March 2012 is expected to bring bad news for the automobile sector, with a likelihood of more taxes, especially on diesel vehicles, which will lead to price hikes and further slowdown in demand.
IT pivotals were mixed. India's third largest software services exporter by revenues Wipro rose 1.16%. India's second largest software services exporter by revenue Infosys declined 1.51%. India's largest software services exporter by revenue TCS fell 1.35%.
Shares of companies whose fortunes are linked to orders from Indian Railways jumped ahead of the railway budget this week. Kernex Microsystems, Kalindee Rail Nirman, Titagarh Wagons, BEML, and Stone India rose by between 1.15% to 3.78%. The Railway Budget will be presented on Wednesday, 14 March 2012.
Given the financial condition of railways, this Rail Budget is likely to seek a two-year moratorium on paying dividend to the government.
Textile stocks were mostly lower after trade secretary Rahul Khullar told reporters on Monday a panel of ministers will likely review a halt on fresh cotton exports from India in two weeks. Arvind Mills, Patspin India, Jindal Cotex, Jindal Worldwide, Alok Industries and Ruby Mills fell by between 0.94% to 3.23%. The government has flip-flopped on the issue of banning cotton exports. After saying it was lifting a ban on overseas sales of the fibre on the weekend, Khullar said on Monday no fresh exports would be allowed and only the quantity permitted to be sold before the ban will be allowed to be shipped.
Realty stocks gained. DLF, HDIL and D B Realty rose by between 0.29% to 8.02%. Unitech was flat. Property consultants and real estate developers have reportedly demanded industry status to the realty sector in the forthcoming Budget. They have also sought incentives to promote affordable housing and an increase in the tax exemption on home loans. To boost supply, they have also asked for a single-window clearance for real estate development projects and foreign direct investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail to create demand for retail space in shopping malls.
Metal stocks rose as LMEX, a gauge of six metals traded on the London Metal Exchange gained 1.86% on Friday, 9 March 2012. Bhushan steel, Sterlite Industries, Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Nalco, and Jindal Steel & Power rose by between 0.09% to 2.69%.
JSW Steel rose 2.27% after the company said it is foraying into the manufacture of electrical steel in line with the company's strategy of increasing its portfolio of value added products.
Coal India rose 0.39%. The company announced after market hours today that the board of directors of the company at its meeting held on today, 12 March 2012, has approved payment of interim dividend for the financial year 2011-12 of Rs 9.50 per share as recommended by the Audit Committee of the company.
Avance Technologies clocked highest volume of 1.98 crore shares on BSE. Dazzel Confindiv (89.67 lakh shares), Cals Refineries (79.11 lakh shares), Lanco Infratech (71.38 lakh shares) and SpiceJet (55.65 lakh shares) were the other volume toppers in that order.
SBI clocked highest turnover of Rs 159.19 crore on BSE. Multi Commodities Exchange of India (MCX) (Rs 152.21 crore), GAIL (India) (Rs 61.30 crore), L&T (Rs 53.41 crore) and Reliance Power (Rs 50.51 crore) were the other turnover toppers in that order.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 1284.65 crore on Friday, 9 March 2012, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.
Industrial production grew 6.8% in January 2012 from a year earlier, sharply higher than a revised 2.5% rise in December 2011, helped by a strong rebound in manufacturing output. Manufacturing output, which has a 75.5% weight in the index of industrial production, rose 8.5% from a year earlier in January. It had risen a revised 2.6% on year in December. Electricity production increased 3.2% from a year earlier in January while capital goods output shrank 1.5%.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after market hours on Friday, 9 March 2012, surprised the markets by slashing the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 75 basis points to 4.75% from 5.5% to ease liquidity situation. The CRR cut, effective the fortnight beginning 10 March 2012, will inject around Rs 48000 crore of primary liquidity into the banking system. At the 3rd quarter policy review in late January 2012, RBI had announced a cut of 50 basis points in CRR, thereby injecting Rs 32000 crore into the cash-strapped system.
The government will release data on inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) for February 2012 on Wednesday, 14 March 2012. WPI inflation for February 2012 is projected at 6.7% as per the median estimate of a poll of economists carried out by Capital Market. WPI inflation stood at 6.55% in January 2012.
Meanwhile, data on advance tax for the last installment of 15 March 2012 may provide cues on Q4 March 2012 corporate earnings.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is slated to announce a mid-quarter review of the monetary policy on Thursday, 15 March 2012, a day before the presentation of the Union Budget 2012/13.
The government is working with state governments for early implementation of a goods and services tax (GST), Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on 22 February 2012.
Stating that the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) was committed to honest and efficient governance, President Pratibha Patil on Monday said the country would soon be back on the high growth path of eight to nine percent from the seven percent estimated for the current fiscal. Addressing the joint session of Parliament on first day of the budget session, the President said the long-term fundamentals of the Indian economy remain robust. The government plans to achieve a 9% annual growth target in the five-year plan period ending on 31 March 2017.
Mukherjee will present the annual budget for 2012/13 on Friday, 16 March 2012, while the railways budget will be presented on Wednesday, 14 March 2012. The government will present on Thursday, 15 March 2012 the Economic Survey for 2011/12, a document on the state of economy prepared by the economic division in the ministry of finance. The annual budget is usually presented on the last working day of February. However, the budget has been delayed this time due to the assembly polls.
Reports indicate that the finance ministry is considering a proposal to increase excise duty from 10% to 12%, although still lower than the level before the 2008 financial crisis. The move is aimed at helping the government improve its fiscal situation but it is expected to push up the cost of almost all manufactured goods from food products to consumer durables and automobiles.
Meanwhile, the parliamentary standing committee on finance has given its approval to a revised version of the proposed Direct Taxes Code (DTC) Bill, 2010. The committee has recommended a more progressive tax regime, which entails widening of the income-tax slabs, increasing the exemption limit for savings and raising the ceiling for wealth tax. If accepted, these recommendations will increase disposable incomes in the hands of taxpayers, encourage savings and levy a higher tax on the rich, besides reducing compliance costs for the income-tax department.
The DTC Bill, 2010, consolidates and integrates all the direct tax laws and replaces both the Income Tax Act, 1961, and the Wealth Tax Act, 1957. The committee headed by Bharatiya Janata Party leader Yashwant Sinha, which submitted its report to the Lok Sabha speaker on Friday, 9 March 2012, has also recommended abolition of the securities transaction tax that is levied on the trading of equity shares and some other instruments.
European markets were mixed in volatile trade on Monday as China posted larger-than-expected trade deficit for February. Key benchmark indices in UK, and France were down by between 0.06% to 0.11%. Germany's DAX was up 0.16%.
Asian markets were trading lower on Monday, 12 March 2012, as sentiment sagged after China reported a much bigger than expected trade deficit of $31.48 billion in February, turning around sharply from a $27.28 billion surplus in January. Key benchmark indices in China, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan were down by between 0.03% to 1.1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.23%.
China's exports rose less than expected while imports climbed more than anticipated by economists, with the country importing record volumes of crude-oil in February 2012.
Trading of US index futures indicated a flat opening of US stocks on Monday, 12 March 2012. US stocks advanced on Friday, 9 March 2012 as investors brushed off the technical default by Greece and focused instead on another strong monthly jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 14.08 points, or 0.11%, to 12,922.02. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 4.96 points, or 0.36%, to 1,370.87. The Nasdaq Composite index gained 17.92 points, or 0.60%, to 2,988.34.
In economic data, US employers added 227,000 jobs to their payrolls in February 2012, government data showed, while the unemployment rate held at a three-year low of 8.3%.

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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Market Mantra: Bulls in full force above 5350
Morning Call to the Paid Groups: Buy Engineers India Ltd on a bounce around Rs,250, T--Rs.285. Exit if it break Rs.248 on the downside. The stock hit a high of Rs.268.50. 
Afternoon call to the Paid Groups: Buy Sintex Industries Ltd at Rs.83, T--Rs.97, SL--Rs.77. The stock is now trading at Rs.84.50. 
Afternoon call to the Paid Groups: Buy IFCI Ltd at around Rs.42-42.20, T--Rs.47, SL--Rs.39.30. Book some profits in HINDALCO Ltd at Rs.147 and hold the rest with a SL of Rs.145. 
In MCX Alumiumum recommended yesterday at Rs.111, is now trading Rs.112.70. The metal is slowly inching towards it target of Rs.118--121.
Now start Buying the stocks in these sectors: Banks, Metals, Power and Auto...Jai Balaji Industries Ltd whose NEW plant is expected to kick start from the 2nd week of April, 2012, has both the Steel and Power story. Therefore, without looking at the results just get into the counter without wasting time. In the same way buy McNally Bharat Ltd at Rs.105-106 for a target of Rs.132-133.

Monday, February 27, 2012

Market Mantra
Buy McNally Bharat Ltd at Rs.109-110, T--Rs.117. The stock should not break Rs.106 on the downside, on a closing basis and hence this is a golden change to invest. 
Morning Nifty target of SELL at 5430, T--5380 to the Paid Members, has been achieved. I had asked all to exit IFCI Ltd and  Indian Bank Ltd today.  
If you made profit by selling Nifty in the morning and now buy Nifty at 5370--5375 (Spot), T--5460, SL--5350. Buy HINDALCO Ltd at Rs.142.50, T--Rs.147, SL--Rs.139.50. Enter again all the Metal Counters: Steel, Aluminium (Rs.111, T-Rs.118 at MCX), Nickel, Gold, etc. On the other hand if anyone is having ABB Ltd and Sesa Goa Ltd, they should reduce their positions.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
Videocon Industries Ltd moves to Rs.184, which was also recommended on yesterday morning mail to the Paid Groups. 
On the other hand high beta stocks like Real Estates tanked as was suggested in the morning mail to the Paid Services. 
Meanwhile Allied Digital Services Ltd completed the Buy Back of its shares. The Average price at which the Shares were bought back is Rs.54.21 per Equity Share. The total amount utilized in the Buy back of Equity Shares is approximately Rs 3.24 Crores (which excludes brokerage and taxes), which Is 11.60% of Offer Size.
Key benchmark indices edged lower to reach their lowest closing level in more than a week as weakness in European stocks triggered profit booking on the domestic bourses after recent strong rally in share prices. The barometer index, BSE Sensex, and the 50-unit S&P CNX Nifty retracted after hitting 30-week highs at the onset of the trading session. The Sensex lost 283.36 points or 1.54%, off close to 380 points from the day's high and up about 50 points from the day's low. The market breadth was weak. Except BSE IT index, all the other 12 sectoral indices on BSE were in the red. BSE Small-Cap and Mid-Cap indices slumped more than 3% each.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) declined more than 1%. State Bank of India (SBI) tumbled nearly 8% on reports that the bank has committed around Rs 1200 crore to beleaguered Kingfisher Airlines. Shares of many other state-run banks slumped. Metal and realty stocks dropped.

The Sensex has jumped 951.70 points or 5.53% in February 2012 so far. The barometer index has surged 2,690.33 points or 17.4% in calendar 2012 so far. From a 52-week low of 15,135.86 on 20 December 2011, the Sensex has risen 3009.39 points or 19.88%. From a 52-week high of 19,811.14 on 6 April 2011, the Sensex has lost 1,665.89 points or 8.4%.

Coming back to today's trade, the market pared gains after hitting 30-week high at the onset of the trading session. The market reversed direction and slipped into the red to hit fresh intraday low in morning trade. The market trimmed losses after sliding to hit fresh intraday low in mid-morning trade. The market moved in a narrow range in the negative terrain in early afternoon trade. Key benchmark indices pared losses in afternoon trade. A bout of volatility was witnessed as key benchmark indices slumped to hit fresh intraday lows after moving into positive zone for a brief period in mid-afternoon trade. The market extended losses to hit fresh intraday low in late trade.

The market may remain volatile tomorrow, 23 February 2012, as traders roll over positions in futures & options (F&O) segment from the near-month February 2012 series to March 2012 series. The near-month February 2012 F&O contracts expire tomorrow, 23 February 2012.

The BSE Sensex lost 283.36 points or 1.54% to settle at 18,145.25, its lowest closing level since 14 February 2012. The index jumped 95.17 points at the day's high of 18,523.78 in early trade, its highest level since 27 July 2011. The index fell 332.80 points at the day's low of 18,095.81 in late trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty lost 101.80 points or 1.82% to settle at 5,505.35, its lowest closing level since 14 February 2012. Nifty hit a high of 5,629.95 in intraday trade, its highest level since 26 July 2011. The index hit a low of 5,491.35 in intraday trade.

The BSE Mid-Cap index tumbled 3.46% and the BSE Small-Cap index shed 3.24%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

BSE clocked turnover of Rs 3839 crore, higher than Rs 3537.89 crore on Tuesday, 21 February 2012.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was weak. On BSE, 2,208 shares fell and 769 shares rose. A total of 106 shares were unchanged. The market breadth was positive earlier in the day.

Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 24 fell while rest of them gained.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 1.02% to Rs 833.20, off the day's high of Rs 855.70. The company said after market hours on Tuesday, 21 February 2012, that it has agreed to form a joint venture with Russian petrochemical company SIBUR to make 100,000 metric tonnes of butyl rubber a year in Jamnagar in Gujarat. The stock had surged nearly 3% ahead of the announcement on Tuesday, 21 February 2012. RIL will own a 74.9% stake in the joint venture, which will be named Reliance Sibur Elastomers. SIBUR will hold the remaining 25.1% stake. The joint venture will invest $450 million to build the facility, which is expected to be commissioned by the middle of 2014.

The JV will cater to the demand for synthetic rubber from the Indian automotive industry of over 75,000 tonnes per year, which is currently satisfied by imports. Investment in the JV is in line with RIL's vision of emerging as a significant player in the global synthetic rubber market, RIL said in a statement.

ONGC rose 0.19%, with the stock extending Tuesday's 3.7% jump. Last week, a ministerial panel approved auctioning a 5% stake in the state-run explorer.

PSU OMCs gained on recent reports the prices of auto and cooking fuels are likely to shoot up steeply in the first week of March 2012 once the assembly elections are over. BPCL, HPCL and Indian Oil Corporation rose by between 0.51% to 1.94%. The hike could be Rs 4 per litre for petrol, Rs 3 for diesel and Rs 50 per cylinder for cooking gas.

Oil marketing companies -- Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum -- are currently losing Rs 4 a litre on petrol, Rs 14 on diesel and Rs 390 on every cylinder of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), report said. Oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs) incur under-recoveries on domestic sale of diesel, LPG and kerosene at controlled prices. The government has already freed pricing of petrol.

NTPC fell 1.91%. NTPC is set to place orders for 11 supercritical boilers and an equal number of turbines of 660 MW each with the Supreme Court ruling that Ansaldo Caldaie Boilers India, a unit of Italian boiler maker Ansaldo Caldaie SpA, had failed to technically qualify for the bidding process. The bidding process for the supercritical boilers was delayed by more than a year after Ansaldo Caldaie moved the Delhi High Court following its disqualification on technical grounds. The high court had upheld Ansaldo's plea that it was wrongly disqualified, against which NTPC moved the Supreme Court.

NTPC had floated tender in October 2009 for the supply of 11 supercritical boilers -- nine for its own projects and two for Damodar Valley Corporation (DVC). These projects are envisaged for implementation under the 12th Five-year capacity addition programme. Besides Ansaldo, three bidders -- Bharat Heavy Electricals (Bhel), a consortium of Larsen & Toubro Power and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and a JV between BGR Energy and Hitachi Power Europe GmbH -- had qualified in the first phase of bidding. NTPC will now invite price bids for supercritical boilers from these three bidders.

Shares of power equipment maker fell on profit taking after recent strong gains. India's largest power equipment maker by sales Bhel slumped 3.57%. Among other capital goods stocks, Suzlon Energy, Praj Industries and Punj Lloyd dropped by between 7.19% to 8.45%.

India's biggest engineering & construction firm by order book, Larsen & Toubro, fell 1.5%. L&T said during trading hours on Tuesday, 21 February 2012, that its Metering & Protection Systems business has agreed to form a strategic partnership with UK-based Cyan Holdings to collaborate in the development, supply and delivery of advanced metering solutions comprising L&T electricity meters integrated with Cyan's wireless communication modules for AMI, Smart Metering and Smart Grid Pilot projects.

Shares of power equipment makers had surged recently as a favourable court ruling has paved the way for state-run power generation major NTPC to place bulk orders for boilers based on supercritical technology.

FMCG stocks dropped. United Spirits, Hindustan Unilever, Dabur India and Nestle India shed by between 0.25% to 14.26%. Cigarette maker ITC rose 0.6%.

Bank stocks edged lower on profit taking after recent strong gains. India's largest private sector bank by branch network ICICI Bank declined 3.42%.

State Bank of India (SBI) fell 7.91% on reports that the bank has committed around Rs 1200 crore to beleaguered Kingfisher Airlines, including working capital of Rs 400 crore, bank guarantee of Rs 500 crore and loan repayment extension worth Rs 250-300 crore.

Bank of India dropped 7.72%. The bank said that its board of directors has approved the raising of capital by issue of up to 7 crore fresh equity shares to Government of India (Promoters) and Life Insurance Corporation of India or to any other investors, as permitted on preferential basis, subject to the approval of the shareholders and regulatory authorities.

Shares of many other state-run banks fell. Oriental Bank of Commerce, United Bank of India, Syndicate Bank, Vijaya Bank, Allahabad Bank, Dena Bank, Union Bank of India, Canara Bank, Bank of Baroda, and Punjab National Bank lost 4.62% to 8.53%

India's second largest bank by net profit HDFC Bank rose 0.12% to Rs 531.75. The stock hit a record high of Rs 538.85 in intraday trade today, 22 February 2012.

The BSE Bankex rose 7.11% in the preceding six sessions to 12,838.84 on 21 February 2012, from a recent low of 11,986.92 on 10 February 2012. The BSE Bankex had outperformed the market over the past one month until 21 February 2012, gaining 17.66% compared with the Sensex's 10.09% rise. The index had also outperformed the market in past one quarter, rising 30.58% as against 15.57% rise in the Sensex.

Infrastructure Development Finance Company fell 4.41%. The lender to the infrastrcuture sector said it has filed the Offering Circular with Singapore Exchange Securities Trading for listing of notes to be issued pursuant to the company's $1.5 billion (or its equivalent in other currencies) Medium Term Notes (MTN) programme.

Airline stocks tumbled as oil rose to a nine-month high on Tuesday on Greece's bailout. Jet Airways, Kingfisher Airlines and SpiceJet shed by between 6.53% to 9.05%. Jet fuel or aviation turbine fuel (ATF) typically makes up almost half of an airline's operating cost. Prices of jet fuel are directly linked to crude oil prices. State-run oil marketing companies--Indian Oil Corporation, Bharat Petroleum Corporation and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation revise jet fuel prices on the 1st and 16th of every month based on the average international crude price in the preceding fortnight.

Metal stocks reversed initial gains. Jindal Steel & Power, JSW Steel, Sail, Hindustan Zinc, Tata Steel, and Hindalco Industries fell by between 2.53% to 4.82%.

Sterlite Industries (India) slumped 6.62% and Sesa Goa fell 4.18% on media reports that the Vedanta Resources group may merge iron ore firm Sesa Goa with copper and aluminium maker Sterlite Industries to simplify and consolidate its corporate structure.

Bhushan Steel fell 1.6%. The company said its board approved a rights issue of 1.41 crore equity shares in the ratio of 1:15 (one equity share for every 15 equity shares held) at Rs 335 each. The announcement was made during trading hours today, 22 February 2012.

Realty stocks reversed initial gains on profit taking. DLF, HDIL and Unitech dropped by between 7.69% to 8.31%. From a recent low of 1370.23 on 2 January 2012, the BSE Realty index jumped 58.36% to 2169.96 on 21 February 2012.

IT stocks were mixed. India's second largest software services exporter by revenue Infosys rose 0.53%. India's third largest software services exporter by revenues Wipro shed 0.32%.

India's largest software services exporter by revenue, TCS rose 1.46% to Rs 1251.90. The stock scaled a record high of Rs 1,266 in intraday trade today, 22 February 2012. The company's chief executive N. Chandrasekaran said in a recent media interview that the company expects business momentum to strengthen next fiscal year as clients have started loosening their purse strings despite economic uncertainties.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries rose 1.24% after the US drug regulator reached a limited, temporary arrangement to import Lipodox from the company and its distribution subsidiary, Caraco Pharmaceutical Laboratories. Lipodox is a generic of Johnson & Johnson's cancer drug Doxil. According to reports, Doxil has been in short supply since about mid-2011. Caraco, a generic-drug maker based in Detroit, will temporarily import the drug Lipodox from its India-based parent, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, the FDA said.

Auto stocks fell across the board on profit taking. India's largest car maker by sales Maruti Suzuki India declined 0.23%. Commercial vehicles maker Ashok Leyland shed 4.29%.

India's largest motorcycle maker by sales Hero MotoCorp declined 0.14%.

India's second largest motorcycle maker by sales Bajaj Auto declined 0.55% to Rs 1800.85. The stock hit a record high of Rs 1,838.90 in intraday trade today, 22 February 2012.

India's largest truck maker by sales Tata Motors shed 1.27%, with the stock reversing initial gains. The company's chief financial officer said the company plans to double investments in its Jaguar Land Rover brands to 1.5 billion pounds a year to help launch new products and variants.

India's largest utility vehicles maker Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) shed 2.39%. M&M's consolidated net profit, adjusted for extra-ordinary items, rose 13.2% to Rs 831.80 crore on 27.6% growth in gross revenue and other income to Rs 16488.40 crore in Q3 December 2011 over Q3 December 2010. Mahindra Satyam, Mahindra Finance and Mahindra Forgings led the improved performance of the Mahindra Group in Q3 December 2011. M&M announced the consolidated results during trading hours on Tuesday, 21 February 2012.

Lanco Infratech clocked highest volume of 2.32 crore shares on BSE. Cals Refineries (2.26 crore shares), Suzlon Energy (1.21 crore shares), Surya Chakra Power Corporation (1.17 crore shares) and Unitech (1.11 crore shares) were the other volume toppers in that order.

SBI clocked highest turnover of Rs 286.64 crore on BSE. United Spirits (Rs 105.85 crore), HDIL (Rs 76.29 crore), L&T (Rs 76.20 crore) and Reliance Capital (Rs 75.89 crore) were the other turnover toppers in that order.

The government is working with state governments for early implementation of a goods and services tax (GST), Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Wednesday, 22 February 2012.

India's economy is expected to grow an annual 7.1% in the current financial year that ends in March, and 7.5 to 8% in the next financial year, C. Rangarajan, chairman of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's economic advisory council said. The economy has lost momentum as euro zone debt woes coupled with high interest rates and policy paralysis at home have hit capital investment. Rangarajan released the document 'Review of the Economy 2011-12' at a Press Conference in New Delhi today. He said a likely overshoot in fiscal deficit over the budgeted 4.6% of gross domestic product is a matter of concern and the government must lay out a roadmap for fiscal consolidation.

Meanwhile, the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on Tuesday, 21 February 2012, raised Rs 95.62 crore from 12 anchor investors. MCX's initial public offer (IPO) opened for bidding today and will close on Friday, 24 February 2012.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 1400.17 crore on Tuesday, 21 February 2012, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. FIIs have bought shares worth a net Rs 13549.43 crore in this month so far (21 February 2012), as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. The inflow this month comes on the top of heavy purchases last month. FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 10357.70 crore in January 2012, as per data from Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi).

The government said on Tuesday that inflation based on the consumer price index (CPI) rose 7.65% in January 2012. The annual CPI data released for the first time on Tuesday measures retail prices in major food groups, fuel, clothing, housing and education across rural and urban India. The new CPI price series is gradually expected to displace wholesale price data as the primary indicator of inflationary trends.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will present the annual budget for 2012/13 on 16 March 2012, while the railways budget will be presented on 14 March 2012. The budget session of parliament will start on 12 March 2012. The government will present on March 15 the Economic Survey for 2011/12, a document on the state of economy prepared by the economic division in the ministry of finance. The annual budget is usually presented on the last working day of February. However, the budget has been delayed this time due to the ongoing assembly polls. Polling for assembly elections in five states concludes in early March 2012.

Reports indicate that the finance ministry is considering a proposal to increase excise duty from 10% to 12%, although still lower than the level before the 2008 financial crisis. The move is aimed at helping the government improve its fiscal situation but it is expected to push up the cost of almost all manufactured goods from food products to consumer durables and automobiles.

European stock markets drifted lower on Wednesday on weak economic data. Key benchmark indices in France, UK and Germany shed by between 0.35% to 0.85%.

Private-sector activity across the 17-nation euro zone contracted unexpectedly in February, according to the preliminary Markit purchasing managers index for the region released Wednesday. The index declined to 49.7 from 50.4 in January. A reading of less than 50 indicates a contraction in activity.

Asian markets were mixed on Wednesday amid concerns over Europe's Greek aid deal and higher oil prices. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, Japan and Taiwan rose by between 0.22% to 1.01%. Key benchmark indices in Indonesia, and Singapore were down by between 0.2% to 0.97%.

China's manufacturing sector contracted in February for the fourth straight month as new export orders dropped sharply in the face of the euro-area debt crisis, the HSBC flash purchasing managers index showed on Wednesday. The PMI, the earliest indicator of China's industrial activity, rose to a four-month-high at 49.7 in February from 48.8 in January. The PMI has been below 50, which demarcates expansion from contraction, for most of the last eight months.

Trading in US index futures indicated a flat opening of US stocks on Wednesday, 22 February 2012. US stocks finished mostly higher on Tuesday after European officials agreed to another round of aid for Greece, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average briefly above 13,000 for the first time since 2008.

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Thursday, December 29, 2011

 From Indian economy to EU: Why 2012 will be better?
Luckily, most of us are not Mayans, who predicted the end of the world in 2012, and will survive the year. Unluckily, most of us are not Maya either, unable as we are to transcend harsh reality and live the illusion whereby the empowerment of one means empowerment of the many.
Yet, if for no reason other than that farce is superior to tragedy, 2012 is likely to be superior to the year that is drawing to a close.
The coming year will be more democratic than 2011. The Arab Spring always had the promise of giving way to a torrid summer. With the US completing its troop withdrawal from Iraq, the Egyptian army called upon to transfer power to civilians and Syria likely having to choose between cracking up or cracking down, 2012 is likely to see some climate change in the Arab lands for the better.
The US will not be able to sustain its double standards forever, either on Saudi or Israeli repression. But for proliferation of standards to end, we will have to wait for one more year -- 2012, after all, is an election year in the US when any kind of foreign policy change becomes too much of a risk for any party. In any case, the Jasmine revolution is more likely to bloom rather than wilt in the Arab lands.
Nepal is likely to consolidate the democratic advances made so far while the junta will, in all probability, further unconsolidate itself in Myanmar. In Pakistan, democracy will be forced to try and assert itself against the army's unconstitutional rule. Pak Generals would be tempted to celebrate the vastly enhanced legitimacy of their illegitimate children, the Taliban, but at the expense of bits of their land blowing up every now and then in uncontrollable schism spawned by religious zealotry that refuses to abide by its founding logic of instrumentality.
In India, popular enchantment with Anna Hazare is likely to ebb. The elections to the Uttar Pradesh assembly will be a decisive turning point, coming in early enough in the year to shape the rest of it decisively. The Congress is likely to win more assembly seats--not only more than it holds at present but also more than the number of assembly segments in the 22 parliamentary constituencies it holds in the state right now.
This would be treated as a gamechanger in national politics, reviving the Congress in the heartland, rejuvenating its leadership and reinvigorating the government at the Centre. Such multiple re-iterations carry the farcical risk of second comings in history, true; but then, that is better than tragedy at a national plane, you would agree.
On the economic front, too, things are likely to look up. The US economy would begin to grow at least at 2% a year, and that means adding $300 billion to global output, as much as China's contribution to global growth, growing at thrice the rate.
Eurozone problems will continue, weakening the Euro and making German produce even more competitive than it is now, boosting that country's exports, GDP and national willingness to pick up the tab of managing a crisis that has served it so well so far Japanese companies will continue to do well, even as the Japanese economy straggles on. Africa and Latin America will join East Asia's growth bandwagon Their collective momentum will help India as well
In India, the government is likely to use its post-UP political authority to crack the whip on a blustery Mamata, throw her a Bengal package, and notify 51% foreign investment in multi-brand retail. It could also decontrol diesel prices and persuade the RBI to start lowering interest rates.
The BJP will find it difficult to hold out on the Goods and Services Tax indefinitely, particularly with a sensible Sushil Modi, convinced of the benefits it would bring to the states and to the national economy, heading the empowered committee of state finance ministers. This would be a very major reform for the Indian economy.
Sebi would, with legal backing, license full-fledged operations of the MCX stock exchange, which would, in redoubled competition with the National Stock Exchange, kickstart a market for corporate debt, opening up one more channel for the inflow of foreign investment, deepening the market for foreign exchange.

The telecom ministry would get out of the shadow of the 2G scam, reframing whole swathes of spectrum for wireless data transmission, both because the economy needs the spectrum and because the new price at which now bountiful spectrum is allocated would show up the folly of CAG's notional loss estimate.
The petroleum ministry would allow BP to make vital investments needed to boost the flow of gas from the KG basin. Posco would have the good sense to negotiate directly with the protesting villagers in Orissa, instead of with middlemen, settle on a handsome compensation package. These two developments, along with FDI in retail, would boost direct investment inflow. A host of European companies would look to set up shop in India, to compensate for flagging growth in Europe.

Photo Courtesy: Sify Finance