Today's Recommendations
1. Buy Union Bank Ltd at Rs.122, T: Rs.130, SL: Rs.118. 
2. Buy SAIL at the CMP of Rs.44.70, T : Rs.47-49, SL: Rs.43.5 (strict).
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's 'Make in India' programme, which has earmarked $87 billion worth of investment in new infrastructure and manufacturing projects over the next five years, will benefit the country's steel and mining companies, a research report says.
The initiative is likely to translate into meaningful steel demand after a gap of around 18 months, according to a report by research agency S&P Global Platts.
The domestic steel sector, which has been plagued by low prices, high-level of imports and muted demand growth is showing signs of an early recovery, according to rating agencies and industry analysts.
The signs of a slow revival in the sector’s fortunes come as the Ministry of Steel prepares to submit a draft report on measures to relieve the financial stresses on the industry to the Prime Minister’s Office.
According to Fitch Ratings, even though challenges remain, the steel sector’s fundamentals have started to improve.
Steel imports by India are expected to reduce significantly in the first half of FY2017 at least once the impact of the minimum import price(MIP) starts to be felt, according to rating firm ICRA.
MIP did not have a material impact on the extent of steel imports till March 2016, due to a lead time of about one-and-a-half to two months for the shipment to arrive in India and the same led to a growth in monthly steel imports in February and March 2016, ICRA said.
Bulk quantities ordered in anticipation of MIP, just before its imposition, could also be a reason behind the same. However, with the full effect of MIP setting in from April 2016 onwards and given the firm international prices, ICRA believes that steel imports are expected to reduce significantly in the first half of FY2017 at least.
Post the imposition of MIP, domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices have witnessed a sharp increase of about Rs 6500/MT which, when compared with the price differential between import offers and MIP in the first week of February 2016 of USD 130-200/MT is still on the lower side.
3. Lanco Infratech Ltd: Buy at the CMP of Rs.4.69, T: Rs.9, SL: Rs.4.20.
Lanco Group has shortlisted four players for selling its power business.
Reports indicated that Tata Power Company, JSW Energy and Piramal Enterprises are among those who are interested in buying Lanco Group's power assets.
A meeting of the joint lenders forum is scheduled to meet in the next few days to take a decision on the sale of the power business of Lanco Group. As per reports, Lanco Group, has power assets of about 8,000 megawatts (MW), and is seeking about Rs.4.50 crore per MW while buyers are bidding at about Rs 3 crore per MW. Lanco Group's power business' enterprise value is pegged at Rs.45000 crore inclusive of debt, reports suggested.
Lanco Infratech is one of the India's largest integrated infrastructure developers in India. The company has subsidiaries and divisions across a synergistic span of 5 business verticals viz. engineering, procurement and construction (EPC), power, natural resources, solar and infrastructure.
4. Buy Reliance Infrastructure Ltd at Rs.532, T: Rs.544, SL: Rs.520.
State-owned institutions Life Insurance Corporation (12.3%), New India Insurance (1.5%) and Oriental Insurance (1.3%) are among the top public shareholders in Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. Apart from this, at least 100 foreign portfolio investors and other institutions hold a little over 20% per cent in the Anil Ambani-promoted entity.
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd reported a 43.7% rise in fourth quarter consolidated net profit helped by lower expenses and a one time gain in its EPC (engineering, procurement and construction) business.
The company has shortlisted two international bidders for monetization of its 11 operational roads assets, said Lalit Jalan, who took over Reliance Infrastructure from 1 January as acting chief executive after heading the company in prior stints for over seven years.
The power business contributes 42% of the total consolidated revenue of R-Infra. The company has said the total enterprise valuation (EV) for the business has been assigned at about Rs.12,000 crore (equity Rs.6,290 crore, debt Rs.5,810 crore). This translates into an EV/sales multiple of around 1.5, in line with peers.
R-Infra has three business segments — electrical energy, EPC (engineering, procurement, construction) and contracts, and infrastructure. Under the first one, engaged in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, it has a 500 Mw thermal power station at Dahanu, near Mumbai; a 220 Mw power plant at Samalkot (Andhra), a 48 Mw power plant at Mormugao (Goa) and a 7.6 Mw wind energy farm at Chitradurga (Karnataka). Of the Rs.6,290 crore consideration, Rs.5,580 crore is for the Mumbai division, while the Samalkot and Goa facilities are valued at Rs.560 crore and Rs.110 crore, respectively. The windmill was worth Rs.40 crore.
The EPC and contracts segment is engaged in the business of construction, erection, commissioning and contracting. The infrastructure segment develops, operates and maintains toll roads, metro rail transit systems and airports.
In December, the company acquired management control in Pipavav Defence.
The initiative is likely to translate into meaningful steel demand after a gap of around 18 months, according to a report by research agency S&P Global Platts.
The domestic steel sector, which has been plagued by low prices, high-level of imports and muted demand growth is showing signs of an early recovery, according to rating agencies and industry analysts.
The signs of a slow revival in the sector’s fortunes come as the Ministry of Steel prepares to submit a draft report on measures to relieve the financial stresses on the industry to the Prime Minister’s Office.
According to Fitch Ratings, even though challenges remain, the steel sector’s fundamentals have started to improve.
Steel imports by India are expected to reduce significantly in the first half of FY2017 at least once the impact of the minimum import price(MIP) starts to be felt, according to rating firm ICRA.
MIP did not have a material impact on the extent of steel imports till March 2016, due to a lead time of about one-and-a-half to two months for the shipment to arrive in India and the same led to a growth in monthly steel imports in February and March 2016, ICRA said.
Bulk quantities ordered in anticipation of MIP, just before its imposition, could also be a reason behind the same. However, with the full effect of MIP setting in from April 2016 onwards and given the firm international prices, ICRA believes that steel imports are expected to reduce significantly in the first half of FY2017 at least.
Post the imposition of MIP, domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices have witnessed a sharp increase of about Rs 6500/MT which, when compared with the price differential between import offers and MIP in the first week of February 2016 of USD 130-200/MT is still on the lower side.
3. Lanco Infratech Ltd: Buy at the CMP of Rs.4.69, T: Rs.9, SL: Rs.4.20.
Lanco Group has shortlisted four players for selling its power business.
Reports indicated that Tata Power Company, JSW Energy and Piramal Enterprises are among those who are interested in buying Lanco Group's power assets.
A meeting of the joint lenders forum is scheduled to meet in the next few days to take a decision on the sale of the power business of Lanco Group. As per reports, Lanco Group, has power assets of about 8,000 megawatts (MW), and is seeking about Rs.4.50 crore per MW while buyers are bidding at about Rs 3 crore per MW. Lanco Group's power business' enterprise value is pegged at Rs.45000 crore inclusive of debt, reports suggested.
Lanco Infratech is one of the India's largest integrated infrastructure developers in India. The company has subsidiaries and divisions across a synergistic span of 5 business verticals viz. engineering, procurement and construction (EPC), power, natural resources, solar and infrastructure.
4. Buy Reliance Infrastructure Ltd at Rs.532, T: Rs.544, SL: Rs.520.
State-owned institutions Life Insurance Corporation (12.3%), New India Insurance (1.5%) and Oriental Insurance (1.3%) are among the top public shareholders in Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. Apart from this, at least 100 foreign portfolio investors and other institutions hold a little over 20% per cent in the Anil Ambani-promoted entity.
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd reported a 43.7% rise in fourth quarter consolidated net profit helped by lower expenses and a one time gain in its EPC (engineering, procurement and construction) business.
The company has shortlisted two international bidders for monetization of its 11 operational roads assets, said Lalit Jalan, who took over Reliance Infrastructure from 1 January as acting chief executive after heading the company in prior stints for over seven years.
The power business contributes 42% of the total consolidated revenue of R-Infra. The company has said the total enterprise valuation (EV) for the business has been assigned at about Rs.12,000 crore (equity Rs.6,290 crore, debt Rs.5,810 crore). This translates into an EV/sales multiple of around 1.5, in line with peers.
R-Infra has three business segments — electrical energy, EPC (engineering, procurement, construction) and contracts, and infrastructure. Under the first one, engaged in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, it has a 500 Mw thermal power station at Dahanu, near Mumbai; a 220 Mw power plant at Samalkot (Andhra), a 48 Mw power plant at Mormugao (Goa) and a 7.6 Mw wind energy farm at Chitradurga (Karnataka). Of the Rs.6,290 crore consideration, Rs.5,580 crore is for the Mumbai division, while the Samalkot and Goa facilities are valued at Rs.560 crore and Rs.110 crore, respectively. The windmill was worth Rs.40 crore.
The EPC and contracts segment is engaged in the business of construction, erection, commissioning and contracting. The infrastructure segment develops, operates and maintains toll roads, metro rail transit systems and airports.
In December, the company acquired management control in Pipavav Defence.
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