Based on this rationale, the Government has renewed the psychological and fiscal war against gold that had been halted in the early 1990s. But is the perception that gold is the main cause of India’s woes on the external sector, right? Is the fall in rupee value due to the rise in gold imports? Had gold imports not risen, would the rupee value have not fallen? A scrutiny of the numbers reveals that it is the unprecedented capital goods import of $587 billion in nine years of UPA rule, red-carpeted by the UPA with tax cuts and zero-rated tariff structures, which disfigured the current account with a total deficit of $339 billion. The damage to current account from net import of gold ($161 billion) and oil ($515 billion) seems far less. Besides disrupting the current account, capital goods import has sent the nation’s growth into ICU (See ‘The elephant experts didn’t see, Business Line, September 5, 2013). How is it then gold is demonised as the sole villain? Because modern economics brands gold a “barbaric relic”. CLICK HERE & CLICK HERE.
Also, KITCO NEW on December, 2013 writes: The country’s current-account deficit hit an all-time high of $88.2 billion, or 4.8% of gross domestic product, for the fiscal year that ended in March. This led to the rules on gold imports as authorities sought to bring down the deficit to $60 billion. In mid-November, Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan said the deficit for the current fiscal year could fall to $56 billion, well below an earlier estimate of $70 billion. “If they achieve the target of a $60 billion current account deficit...there should be some relaxation of gold import rules,” Nambiath said.
This could occur by April or May, he continued, suggesting authorities could at least trim the gold duties, if not other measures such as the 80-20 rule. CLICK HERE. Therefore, it will be more prudent to think that the government of India could bring in some changes in its GOLD IMPORT POLICY in the coming days]