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Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Market Mantra
Tulip Telecom Ltd hits the buyer freeze in the opening trade. After the restructuring the total business of  any company gets revamped because of lot of factors. In case of Tulip Telecom Ltd. under the Corporate Debt Restructuring (CDR) package, the company will get an interest rate of 11.5%, along with a moratorium of 2.5 years and a loan extension of 8 years. According to the media reports, the company will also get interest funding of Rs.330 Cr for 1.5 years. The promoter will have to make an up-front sacrifice of Rs 60 crore under the CDR package. By that time Tulip Telecom Ltd will complete the Asia's largest data centre, and the revenues will take a quantum jump. I am expecting the scrip to be moving towards Rs.41-42, from where it fell because the fundamentals have only improved now, from that time, when there were no CDR; so the scrip should be moving higher in the coming days. CMP: Rs.11.40.
Geodesic Ltd is also moving up with good volume. The company is having a good business model and is expected to move up in future. The worst in terms of business is over and the downside is limited. According to my close sources, the 1st part, i.e. CDR related issues are almost over, so now we need to look at the 2nd part, i.e. FCCB payment and the 3rd (and probably most important), the buy back of shares from the market.  If all the three moves in tandem, we can again look forward for a price of Rs.31-32--41 in the coming days. CMP: Rs.10.70.
There is a positive news for the shareholders of Reliance Industries Ltd (CMP:Rs.776.50: Has come across traces of natural gas in a well drilled in the producing area of D6 block in Krishna-Godavari Basin, indicating that a discovery may be forthcoming.  Also keep a look at Reliance Broadcast Network Ltd (CMP: Rs.25.50), which hit the upper circuits.In case of Reliance Communications: The Calcutta HC has temporarily barred the telecom department from imposing a one-time charge of 17.57 bln rupees on CDMA airwaves the company holds.
Positive news for PSU Banks: The RBI has assured the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance that it will take stern action against banks that allegedly facilitated money laundering. So, this is expected to help the PSU banks like SBI, PNB, Union Bank of India, etc, in terms of improvement of sentiment, as the depositors and account holders might look for safer heavens. Moreover, in case of State Bank of India (SBI-- Rs.1997), the government's holding rose to 62.31% from 61.58% earlier, post capital issue.
Positive News for the Agriculture Sector:  Development of El Nino or La Nina in the Pacific Ocean is unlikely until the end of July, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.This will have a good positive effect on the FMCG and Automobile sectors, apart from others. 
Positive News for the Steel Sector: STEEL: CARE Research expects profit margin of Indian steel companies to improve in 2013-14 (Apr-Mar) on the back of a fall in iron ore prices. Steel consumption in the country grew just 3.3% to 73.3 ml n tn in 2012-13 on subdued demand.
Positive News for the HIGHWAYS and Power Sector: The NHAI will award 4,000 km orders on EPC basis in 2013-14 (Apr-Mar).  And the CCEA is likely to take up the is sue of coal price pooling on Apr 16. IVRCL Ltd: Rs.18.80.