Suzlon Energy Ltd: Why suddenly it is a screaming Buy?
CMP: Rs.17.05
Lenders
to wind turbine maker Suzlon Energy Ltd, which last month defaulted on a
$200 million convertible bond redemption, have agreed to restructure
about Rs.11,000 crore of its debt, according to the media reports. The
debt to be restructured is held by about 20 Indian banks, led by
State Bank of India, the country’s largest lender, which had exposure to
the company of about $659 million as of last month. The deal gives the
world’s No. 5 wind turbine maker, which has been squeezed by a
combination of debt, tight working capital and falling global demand for
turbines, breathing room to fund its operations. This is great
considering the key take-aways from the media reports. Let us observe
why this deal is suddenly looking so attractive for the shareholders who
have waited not for days but for years, to get a solid prop, to their
hopes:
(i) Suzlon Ltd has a
net debt, at about Rs.13, 000 crore at the group level, at the end of
June, and does not apply to its overseas bonds, which was really sending
alarming signals to the investor community. Its total debt is of Rs
14,600 crore.
(ii)
Now, this kind of massive support from the Financial Institutions would
definitely help them to regain credibility, which has off-late
unfortunately, come down to nadir.
(iii)
According to the media reports, the rupee debt, which was due in five
and six years, will be restructured with a two-year moratorium on
interest and principal repayment, after which the loans will be repaid
over eight years at a lower rate, one of the sources said. This is a
very good news as for the time being the company is relieved of interest
burden, to a great extent.
(iv)
According to media reports, the details which are yet to be worked out,
is expected to focus on reducing interest on the loans from about 14 %
now to 11 % per annum. A 300 bps, interest rate cut is huge and will
definitely have a positive effect on both the top and bottomlines of the
company.
(v) Suzlon
Energy Ltd had become nightmare for most of the shareholders who had
invested in the scrip either at the IPO or late when the scrip was
hovering around more than Rs.100, though it has an order book of 372.9
billion rupees (Rs.37, 290 Cr) as of November 9 2012. Its total income
in FY12, came out to be Rs.7218.27 Cr. Thus its order book is more than 5
times its FY12 earnings, which in any case is massive. Now even if we
subtract the debt of around Rs.13, 000 or say, Rs.14, 000 Cr, then also
the order book is more than 3 times its FY12 earnings. Doesn't it look
attractive?
(vi) Despite
Tuesday’s gains of about 10%, Suzlon shares are still roughly half their
year-high level in February, 2012 and about 96 % below their Rs.459.8
peak in early 2008, during boom times for the global wind energy
sector.
Conclusion:
Now considering the points mentioned above, it would be prudent to buy
the scrip in tomorrow's morning trade before it shoots up further. I am
keeping a target of Rs.32, for the scrip for the short term.
Note: This report was sent to the Paid Groups on Yesterday night. Those Paid Members who have invested today, are already making a killing. Join my Paid Service or my Brokerage House, to stay ahead of others.
Note: This report was sent to the Paid Groups on Yesterday night. Those Paid Members who have invested today, are already making a killing. Join my Paid Service or my Brokerage House, to stay ahead of others.