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Friday, September 28, 2012

WINNING STROKES: THINK DIFFERENT
Bartronics Ltd: Crossed Major Resistances
Kouton Retail Ltd hit another buyer freeze in the opening trade, the stock is hitting one circuit after another since the last few trading sessions, after FDI in retail was declared. Meanwhile, Pantaloon Retal Ltd touched Rs.223.50, while V2 Retail Ltd (which has opened a new store in the last quarter) touched Rs.13.50. The June, 2012 quarter results of the company are much decent as compared to June, 2011. 
After long time Bartronics Ltd closed above Rs.25, which was acting as a strong resistance. The stocks is expected to do well, as Wall Mart and other Retail giants are known to use barcodes extensively, which is the business domain of Bartronics India Ltd. It is now above both its 50 and 100 DSMAs. Hence, the scrip could see a vertical upward move from here.
My old recommendation, ARSS Infrastructure Ltd almost touched the second target of Rs.62, as it closed at Rs.59.95. The stock was recommended a couple months back around Rs.42-43. Meanwhile another of my earlier recommended counter, Anant Raj Industries Ltd touched Rs.91.90 today. 
SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd (CMP: Rs.5.26) which has announced a capital expenditure of US $400 million to set up an integrated state of the art yarn manufacturing facility with 400,000 spindles in Madhya Pradesh (and will be the largest yarn manufacturing facility in a single location) today closed flat. Earlier it also announced setting up of a new 210,000 spindles spinning facility in Punjab, once again, the largest single location spinning mill in Punjab. From humble beginnings, SEL Manufacturing Ltd, has graduated in to $300 million integrated textile group with a targeted capacity of one million spindles.  FDI in retail is another factor which will change the way the Indians shop. This will give rise to increase in consumption helping the textile industry to grow.  In addition, the middle class in India is growing at a very rapid pace with a sizable increase in discretionary disposable incomes from which a significant share might come to the textile sector. The estimates of growth of textile industry from the present level of $ 70 billion to $ 220 billion by the year 2020 may also prove to be an under-statement in the next few years. It is in this backdrop that the company has planned and achieved speedy growth to be ready to take advantage of the huge opportunity ahead. The company management continues to be positive on the Indian textile industry and are hence building sizable capacities to achieve global scale and competitiveness. Besides, both domestic and global textile markets are expected to grow and do well not only in next 2-3 years, but also for the whole of this decade. India has a great advantage in terms of abundant availability of raw materials, sizable manufacturing capacity expansion, mature textile industry, large pool of skilled workforce both white and blue collar, fast growing quality infrastructure in the country, positive policy initiatives by the Government of India and ever growing demand for its products world over. The global technical industry is estimated at US$ 127 billion and its size in India is pegged at US$ 11 billion.  The government, late last month, announced the restructuring of debt worth Rs.35,000 crore to bail out cash-starved textile mills that have fallen into a debt trap owing to a sudden fall in product prices after two successive years of relentless rise in raw material costs. Moreover, under the foreign trade policy announced earlier this month, the commerce ministry extended the zero-duty Export Promotion Credit Guarantee scheme by a year to March 31, 2013. In the case of the apparel sector, the market-linked focus product scheme was extended until the end of the current fiscal for exports to the US and the European Union. Apart from this, a 2% interest subsidy scheme for the labour-intensive readymade garment and knitwear sector has been extended until March 2013. However, industry executives believe that the macro-economic crisis in Europe and the US, which account for 65% of India's textiles and garments exports, has hurt demand. In a bit to diversify the operations the company has also entered into the aviation and Hotel sectors. Meanwhile, the company came out with decent set of numbers for the Q1FY12, but after its GDR issue, it is witnessing continued selling in the bourses, while the regulators are watching as mute spectators. The regulators should see, why there is continued selling in the bourses, inspite of the company having sound fundamentals.